Movies · resolved market
Will Stephen Graham (Adolescence) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaf035ca1df35325a163b299e124de1e912cdd51732d9aaaf8ec6855a6e340b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked No | 17c | 1,065$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.05 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked No | 17c | 926$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.42 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked No | 17c | 903$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.51 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked No | 13c | 889$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked No | 17c | 876$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed No | 17c | 819$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.59 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…aa56backed No | 17c | 739$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked No | 9c | 727$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed No | 17c | 709$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked No | 24c | 650$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked No | 17c | 609$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed No | 17c | 602$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…2cf4backed No | 19c | 595$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…c3ddbacked No | 9c | 589$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…1f50backed No | 17c | 554$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…0074backed No | 22c | 461$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed No | 17c | 396$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked No | 17c | 391$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 12c | 339$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…db8abacked No | 21c | 338$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…74dfbacked No | 22c | 306$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed Yes | 76c | 301$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 15c | 294$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…56bdbacked Yes | 76c | 282$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed No | 17c | 281$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a7a9backed No | 17c | 235$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked No | 13c | 234$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked No | 17c | 234$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 9c | 221$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 76c | 213$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed No | 17c | 204$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Yes | 76c | 201$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 18c | 189.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 6c | 184.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…5b81backed Yes | 78c | 158$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eeb…fdfcbacked Yes | 78c | 156$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…6ea3backed No | 21c | 149$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6c4dbacked Yes | 78c | 147$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…dde4backed Yes | 79c | 142$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…4163backed No | 21c | 142$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43f…aa29backed No | 22c | 133$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26a…70a8backed No | 22c | 130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked No | 24c | 124$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e4…bb94backed Yes | 79c | 121$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a64bbacked No | 9c | 114$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c936backed Yes | 79c | 113$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96cf…6e7dbacked No | 22c | 112$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c0…5186backed No | 22c | 112$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c8…24e8backed Yes | 78c | 110$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdd…194fbacked Yes | 78c | 108$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c70…de74backed Yes | 79c | 104$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…2d31backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 29c | 95.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80ca…0aa2backed No | 22c | 95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb50b…f50abacked No | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 15c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…230bbacked No | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…0f6dbacked No | 21c | 89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c6…c82dbacked Yes | 78c | 88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2e…f9adbacked No | 22c | 86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ba…0b00backed No | 21c | 84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…9f48backed Yes | 79c | 84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +190.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf79…0b94backed No | 22c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff6…52d1backed No | 24c | 78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed No | 17c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9a…c5a9backed No | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2e…3189backed No | 22c | 59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f4…b33bbacked Yes | 79c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ca…c61cbacked Yes | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83aa…f11cbacked No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…d6a1backed Yes | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed No | 32c | 47.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48ac…7a4dbacked Yes | 78c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232e…2df1backed Yes | 78c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…bf4dbacked Yes | 78c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…a292backed Yes | 79c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…30a2backed Yes | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…c782backed Yes | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6348…c599backed Yes | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…12bcbacked Yes | 78c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…1deebacked Yes | 78c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…e07cbacked Yes | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…b457backed Yes | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…c345backed Yes | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x704f…f117backed Yes | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875a…f6cabacked Yes | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ec…4572backed Yes | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…67bebacked Yes | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61e…7c81backed Yes | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed8…ef1fbacked Yes | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e40…e050backed Yes | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196a…ad26backed Yes | 78c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…a8d4backed Yes | 78c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ee…edc4backed Yes | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…075dbacked Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stephen Graham (Adolescence) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will Brian Tyree Henry (Dope Thief) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Charlie Hunnam (Monster The Ed Gein Story) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Jude Law (Black Rabbit) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Matthew Rhys (The Beast In Me) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.