Token Launches · resolved market
Will ETHGAS launch a token by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65905f4371a81235b31dc73a09eb5dcd57d20aa7c35573ac94e12ac51e1a8a62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85be…5ec1backed No | 21c | 2,695$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.05 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 1c | 2,085$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed No | 26c | 1,920$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…6f9fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,327$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…7dd2backed No | 34c | 1,256$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.28 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed No | 24c | 1,201$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed No | 25c | 1,080$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 75c | 1,029$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…7de5backed Yes | 74c | 985$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed No | 25c | 968$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 75c | 906$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked No | 23c | 900.05$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.4 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed No | 25c | 862$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed No | 24c | 851$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 75c | 839$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +180.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed Yes | 75c | 782$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…bb1dbacked Yes | 77c | 762$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…dcb1backed Yes | 75c | 700$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 25c | 675$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 75c | 665$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed Yes | 76c | 658$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…50f8backed No | 25c | 654$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked No | 25c | 642$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 25c | 633$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed Yes | 75c | 622$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…ac22backed No | 25c | 612$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 592.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed No | 23c | 592$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 24c | 590$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 25c | 583$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6735…f5b7backed Yes | 79c | 561.94$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 75c | 539$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 75c | 529$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…f52fbacked Yes | 61c | 528.06$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed Yes | 75c | 510$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…c336backed No | 31c | 509.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.62 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed Yes | 75c | 509$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes | 75c | 493$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed No | 24c | 491$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed Yes | 75c | 489$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked No | 25c | 484$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked No | 25c | 422$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked No | 25c | 413$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f14…7328backed No | 33c | 412.66$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 13c | 398.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 21c | 377.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked Yes | 74c | 360$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 25c | 345$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 26c | 342$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 16c | 332.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed Yes | 75c | 331$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…2cdbbacked No | 25c | 331$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 74c | 326$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 75c | 314$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed No | 25c | 312$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed Yes | 75c | 311$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d8…4c30backed Yes | 76c | 295$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc1…5216backed No | 20c | 283.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed No | 25c | 263$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…c640backed No | 33c | 252.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 11c | 249.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 63c | 249.87$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed Yes | 75c | 245$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed Yes | 75c | 222.9$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae2…0999backed Yes | 65c | 222.22$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 76c | 221$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed No | 25c | 215$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7187backed Yes | 72c | 205.77$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No | 25c | 205$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed Yes | 75c | 189$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 40c | 186.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 75c | 185$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 61c | 182.58$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 103 | 70.9%73 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 22c | 178.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 68c | 172.77$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 75c | 171$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4653…65c5backed No | 26c | 152$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…ebefbacked Yes | 55c | 151.04$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 59c | 147.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…e1e8backed No | 41c | 145.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 17c | 145.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 61c | 143.7$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked Yes | 75c | 140.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes | 74c | 139$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes | 75c | 139$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 38c | 123$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…254fbacked Yes | 69c | 113.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked No | 25c | 107$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…92bbbacked Yes | 62c | 105.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 75c | 105$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…18ffbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8043…91c8backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 37c | 96.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…3681backed Yes | 64c | 96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked No | 23c | 92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed No | 25c | 91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 36c | 84.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…190bbacked No | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 76c | 79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…5ae4backed No | 25c | 78.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ETHGAS launch a token by June 30, 2026?this page
- Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will ETHGAS launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.