Token Launches · resolved market
Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6542863f105519646cc6aeaaff65d8348727d70323242b93870e2c515a5e5290
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 14c | 8,707$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.98 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 5c | 7,171$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.07 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691c…e0aabacked No | 22c | 3,370$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.98 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…eca5backed Yes | 39c | 2,651$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…b317backed Yes | 73c | 2,615$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 31c | 2,491$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked No | 16c | 2,350$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.27 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 52c | 1,736$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6f…e218backed Yes | 59c | 1,516$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked Yes | 53c | 1,354$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7187backed Yes | 65c | 1,333$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…7dd2backed No | 43c | 1,205$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.44 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 12c | 1,171$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 1,122$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 55c | 1,079$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.47 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4653…65c5backed No | 45c | 1,076$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…b332backed Yes | 55c | 1,069$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,034$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.26 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed No | 44c | 1,021$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…6426backed No | 65c | 1,010$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked No | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc23…9297backed No | 37c | 999.99$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked No | 47c | 987$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 57c | 945$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked No | 47c | 932$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 903.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a6…2833backed Yes | 67c | 822.21$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…5de8backed Yes | 57c | 788.22$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed No | 45c | 784$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked No | 45c | 766$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…254fbacked Yes | 59c | 723.78$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed No | 47c | 714$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 52c | 704.21$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…7c6cbacked No | 14c | 700.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…deaebacked No | 36c | 670.22$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29e…841dbacked No | 42c | 631.11$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc580…9e1abacked Yes | 44c | 618.58$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…3575backed Yes | 45c | 612.78$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6735…f5b7backed No | 19c | 610.7$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f52…d634backed Yes | 47c | 605.07$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked No | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…be7ebacked Yes | 54c | 590$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed Yes | 53c | 569$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…35a7backed No | 52c | 552.54$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.62 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed Yes | 57c | 538$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…c336backed No | 36c | 525.46$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.05 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 58c | 519.25$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.05 | 103 | 70.9%73 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 2c | 519.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 43c | 512.4$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.33 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…46c2backed No | 34c | 506.45$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.82 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…0beabacked Yes | 45c | 504.34$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf90…9345backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…e0debacked No | 9c | 500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d0…3df9backed Yes | 60c | 496.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…7788backed No | 62c | 492.17$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.87 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 22c | 483.44$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed No | 42c | 471$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed Yes | 55c | 444$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae2…0999backed No | 51c | 415.33$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 58c | 414$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked Yes | 55c | 404$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd2…6820backed Yes | 50c | 401.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…3861backed No | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349a…77fcbacked Yes | 53c | 370$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 62c | 369$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 22c | 356.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed No | 43c | 355$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 53c | 354$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 47c | 341$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed Yes | 55c | 340$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 38c | 339.81$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.13 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked No | 42c | 329$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed No | 45c | 303$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +11.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +54%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…b3eebacked No | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…4defbacked No | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…1eebbacked No | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…c640backed No | 50c | 296.82$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed No | 45c | 291$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8043…91c8backed No | 39c | 290$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17d2…3082backed No | 46c | 290$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 47c | 286$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 31c | 280.07$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed Yes | 56c | 278$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed No | 38c | 264.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked Yes | 53c | 249$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 42c | 242.23$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.29 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 53c | 238$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…1accbacked Yes | 35c | 233.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.66 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 62c | 231$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 57c | 229$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f14…7328backed No | 48c | 228.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes | 54c | 225$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Yes | 55c | 224$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 13c | 222.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed Yes | 53c | 222$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?this page
- Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will ETHGAS launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will ETHGAS launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.