Premier League · resolved market
Will Robert De Zerbi be appointed as manager of Tottenham?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff8bc0dd39890cb2093d4001e9a794ee019430034913c0de34beb871301e0d98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 63c | 1,411$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.92 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 28c | 1,385$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 40c | 780.26$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 79c | 600$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked No | 78c | 552$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed Yes | 22c | 552$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 39c | 272.58$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.2 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 8c | 178.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 76c | 163.03$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1552…b18fbacked Yes | 49c | 159.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…58a9backed Yes | 22c | 158$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed No | 64c | 124.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…ffe2backed No | 77c | 120.67$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 119.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed Yes | 26c | 108.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aea…ee37backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +192%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x769d…05bfbacked Yes | 23c | 98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…98babacked No | 78c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +101%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…6266backed No | 78c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 27c | 73.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 38c | 68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…7a4dbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked Yes | 24c | 56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 29c | 45.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…ae5fbacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…9ba4backed No | 80c | 36.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 28.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 80c | 16.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 76c | 13.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Robert De Zerbi be appointed as manager of Tottenham?this page
- Will Edin Terzic be appointed as manager of Tottenham?No won
- Will Igor Tudor be appointed as manager of Tottenham?No won
- Will Marco Rose be appointed as manager of Tottenham?No won
- Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.