World Politics · resolved market
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab6fb278f753c6c10479d71429d3ef53ed213ddd208b9f4381cecd8db393974c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $502,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $516,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $502,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8718…d6ddbacked Yes | 13c | 52,863$7,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,072.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…5ab5backed Yes | 13c | 47,627$5,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,993.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 13cpaid | +418.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…2e83backed Yes | 13c | 40,388$5,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,451 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 10c | 24,730$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.23 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 8c | 12,552$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.52 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b0…f521backed Yes | 11c | 8,457$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb713…e322backed Yes | 13c | 7,111$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bb…ba01backed Yes | 15c | 6,689$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…573ebacked Yes | 14c | 4,419$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…5501backed Yes | 18c | 4,411$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…98c3backed Yes | 16c | 3,621$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +183.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb762…37bebacked Yes | 9c | 3,428$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…bec8backed Yes | 10c | 3,251$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 7c | 3,223$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…4777backed Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +409.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…feabbacked Yes | 9c | 2,886$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…79aebacked Yes | 9c | 2,622$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +152.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…abf9backed Yes | 13c | 2,527$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…638abacked Yes | 15c | 2,428$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c5…3e0ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,413$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc333…543ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,346$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…ba5cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,143$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…7652backed Yes | 14c | 1,947$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…7b7fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,923$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 1,871$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…9fdfbacked Yes | 13c | 1,782$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…2bd8backed Yes | 16c | 1,666$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8162…7365backed Yes | 10c | 1,662$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1224…d7fdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a7…5b55backed Yes | 14c | 1,431$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 9c | 1,429$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.75 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…7b49backed Yes | 10c | 1,276$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…c01cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,258$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 1,186$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 11c | 1,114$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.59 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d1…d745backed Yes | 15c | 1,107$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf109…4289backed Yes | 12c | 1,033$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 78c | 975$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe241…5c34backed Yes | 10c | 900.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…b3d3backed Yes | 17c | 878.04$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +204.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b54…e070backed Yes | 9c | 869.56$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 17c | 864$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 3c | 780.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Yes | 7c | 715.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c25…70d3backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 8c | 651.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…ea4ebacked Yes | 22c | 639$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc7…e5c9backed Yes | 10c | 629.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe678…35d4backed Yes | 14c | 621.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…44bdbacked Yes | 15c | 615.38$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 11c | 600.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 600$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…7b2fbacked Yes | 17c | 597.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed Yes | 11c | 596$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…af79backed No | 76c | 589$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked Yes | 24c | 581$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24d…46cbbacked Yes | 8c | 539.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046a…0a3ebacked Yes | 15c | 538.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0090…f680backed Yes | 11c | 509.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 3c | 506.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 485.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…b407backed Yes | 14c | 483.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…e8a9backed Yes | 10c | 458.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…d383backed Yes | 11c | 453.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…171ebacked Yes | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 7c | 444$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…4279backed Yes | 15c | 442.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed Yes | 17c | 440$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…b6afbacked Yes | 12c | 426.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dde…5240backed Yes | 12c | 418.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3800…a2a1backed Yes | 15c | 417.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 7c | 408.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…4d45backed Yes | 15c | 402.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…6a0cbacked Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…6c75backed Yes | 19c | 399$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 10c | 392.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8505…8f36backed Yes | 10c | 390.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…8b60backed Yes | 6c | 389.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…1e6cbacked Yes | 7c | 388.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9891…64ccbacked Yes | 10c | 388.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a9…d486backed Yes | 12c | 368.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 13c | 362.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079d…4d1bbacked Yes | 14c | 354.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…62c8backed Yes | 9c | 346.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…7310backed Yes | 10c | 339.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 6c | 331.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +8.0wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +105%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…4569backed Yes | 24c | 328$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 12c | 323.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed No | 76c | 320$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…4ee4backed Yes | 11c | 314.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913a…65bdbacked Yes | 18c | 303.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…f50cbacked Yes | 14c | 301.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…6a93backed Yes | 10c | 298.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…cc1cbacked Yes | 10c | 295.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…94bcbacked Yes | 13c | 295.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked Yes | 22c | 285$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…5d3fbacked Yes | 9c | 270$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.