AI · resolved market
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x388459f1cfd0d310154e13f16f49d31fd301e5e3502072c8b09d3a0697b2823f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Yes | 9c | 1,469$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 1,200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…4a94backed Yes | 13c | 1,157$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed Yes | 11c | 1,150$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd1…2bb3backed Yes | 14c | 1,111$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed Yes | 15c | 1,054$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed Yes | 12c | 1,029$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed Yes | 16c | 981$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…2ad5backed Yes | 11c | 956$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…7111backed Yes | 15c | 951$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…db2abacked Yes | 16c | 945$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…e13abacked Yes | 11c | 938$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked Yes | 14c | 907$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…4a8ebacked Yes | 13c | 867$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…4bd2backed Yes | 11c | 861$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 12c | 782$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…6fcbbacked Yes | 11c | 777.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…697abacked Yes | 6c | 773.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…2263backed Yes | 11c | 772$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234a…cbffbacked Yes | 15c | 707$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…a94dbacked Yes | 14c | 706$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 9c | 694.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed Yes | 11c | 645$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…4165backed Yes | 13c | 584$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed Yes | 11c | 581$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed Yes | 11c | 559$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 40cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…9be8backed Yes | 11c | 551$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 7c | 542.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes | 12c | 523$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…b7a0backed Yes | 4c | 505.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…8412backed Yes | 5c | 489.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked Yes | 11c | 483$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 15c | 481$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 8c | 472.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 472.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed Yes | 15c | 442$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked Yes | 17c | 438$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 422.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 8c | 414$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked Yes | 12c | 407$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 395.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked Yes | 14c | 383$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…4d4cbacked Yes | 11c | 380$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed Yes | 15c | 379$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…e1babacked Yes | 12c | 379$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda4…1058backed Yes | 16c | 360$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed Yes | 14c | 347$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 4c | 343.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…95c8backed Yes | 12c | 342$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…dbcabacked Yes | 11c | 340.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked Yes | 11c | 340$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 337.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcc…00c9backed Yes | 25c | 327.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e36…1f39backed Yes | 6c | 310.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2180…5345backed Yes | 6c | 308.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…d68ebacked Yes | 15c | 301$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…cfb7backed Yes | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked Yes | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed Yes | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked Yes | 8c | 288$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 11c | 286$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…aff0backed Yes | 11c | 283$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.30per pick | 31cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked Yes | 14c | 276$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.38per pick | 44cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed Yes | 12c | 256$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…d950backed Yes | 11c | 253$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…eb9dbacked Yes | 7c | 242.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…56bdbacked Yes | 11c | 234$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…2380backed Yes | 16c | 234$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 8c | 232.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 230.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…70a2backed Yes | 17c | 230$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes | 8c | 226$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed Yes | 14c | 226$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed Yes | 14c | 225$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked Yes | 11c | 219$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…d531backed Yes | 16c | 219$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed Yes | 13c | 218$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcabd…3764backed Yes | 14c | 212$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…5e39backed Yes | 5c | 200.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 12c | 195.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…4569backed Yes | 11c | 194$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…fc54backed Yes | 9c | 178$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 7c | 176$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 7c | 174.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed Yes | 8c | 152$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 10c | 144$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed Yes | 12c | 144$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…c1bdbacked Yes | 9c | 141.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…12f8backed Yes | 8c | 138$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed Yes | 9c | 135$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…d395backed Yes | 11c | 133$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 8c | 132.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 79 | 6.3%5 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…7699backed Yes | 15c | 121$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +105%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked Yes | 13c | 116$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…89f6backed Yes | 11c | 111.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +120%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…85b7backed Yes | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…5dacbacked Yes | 11c | 107.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 10c | 102.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 150 | 2.7%4 W · 146 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.