AI · resolved market
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2dd20bc42378191ba1e6068f2afa8b2a6c13881a42ee03e211441f0a2f3aeac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 11c | 12,077$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.15 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked No | 21c | 9,162$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 15c | 3,886$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.72 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked No | 5c | 3,875$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.61 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…003fbacked Yes | 72c | 3,047$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb128…cf58backed Yes | 76c | 2,847$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6abe…d6a5backed Yes | 75c | 2,822$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 19c | 2,535$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.69 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked No | 13c | 2,250$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.49 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked No | 29c | 1,956$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.79 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked No | 23c | 1,923$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked No | 27c | 1,635$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.41 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 72c | 1,559$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 19c | 1,500$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…7050backed No | 14c | 1,308$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…706fbacked No | 16c | 1,284$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 25c | 1,212$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.38 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 22c | 915.97$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.52 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…213bbacked Yes | 74c | 877.23$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536f…ca28backed No | 11c | 832.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 9c | 830$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 6c | 806$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe020…ff13backed Yes | 73c | 802.49$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a3…032ebacked No | 25c | 731.39$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 75c | 700.1$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.53 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 11c | 682.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -20.8wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…1c07backed No | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 9c | 646.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 79c | 642.29$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…65abbacked No | 17c | 637.53$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2c…f0ecbacked No | 44c | 601.07$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ab…3a5abacked Yes | 75c | 527$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked Yes | 79c | 519.7$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…0e5fbacked Yes | 75c | 499.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 75c | 456.57$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 25c | 422.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.67 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 16c | 416.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…6705backed No | 26c | 398.34$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…c1d5backed No | 11c | 387.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 7c | 344.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 35c | 327.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.42 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed No | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked No | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…4a62backed No | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b95…a426backed No | 16c | 299.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…d719backed No | 19c | 265.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 74c | 249.09$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 25c | 241.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb289…9403backed No | 18c | 210.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 13c | 206.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed No | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed No | 20c | 189.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 15c | 187.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 164$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 61c | 158.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…3b8ebacked No | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…868bbacked Yes | 73c | 150.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…a67dbacked Yes | 69c | 142.03$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ea…3955backed Yes | 75c | 132.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…c73dbacked Yes | 74c | 132.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c9…b59cbacked Yes | 76c | 130.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…8364backed Yes | 75c | 130.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…19c1backed Yes | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…9b67backed Yes | 76c | 129.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed Yes | 74c | 126$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed No | 23c | 125.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…20c1backed No | 32c | 125.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes | 76c | 121$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…5c11backed No | 34c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 79c | 115.38$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa8…f80cbacked No | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb0…6621backed No | 19c | 114.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 78c | 111$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f5…8423backed No | 61c | 108.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850e…5c8ebacked No | 13c | 107.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 17c | 106.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 28c | 104$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…1f78backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…cf85backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f9…cf15backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f9…bb92backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fee…ee86backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 76.3%61 W · 19 L | +12.0wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +304.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…e279backed No | 30c | 99.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked No | 37c | 99.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked No | 18c | 97.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2,281.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…b3b2backed No | 24c | 97.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…9734backed No | 23c | 97.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 74c | 82.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…35abbacked Yes | 59c | 81.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…2408backed Yes | 79c | 79.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?this page
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.