TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NOVO Esports vs DNSTY (BO5) - VCL Spain: Rising Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NOVO Esportsof NOVO Esports, DNSTY
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,483
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,892

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,483 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed DNSTY50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50034356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed NOVO Esports50c4,990$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4952259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked DNSTY47c3,165$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59f9…031cbacked DNSTY49c2,040$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x189a…30e6backed DNSTY49c2,010$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d0…5645backed DNSTY49c2,010$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f65…72efbacked DNSTY49c1,990$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4faa…c2c3backed DNSTY49c1,550$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb203…39b3backed DNSTY49c1,550$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…8f14backed DNSTY49c1,530$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd312…e85cbacked DNSTY49c1,510$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…94c7backed DNSTY49c1,510$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd754…86ccbacked NOVO Esports51c1,100$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a71…3ddfbacked DNSTY49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x128e…a993backed DNSTY49c1,050$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x610b…c28cbacked NOVO Esports51c1,050$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde70…eaf5backed NOVO Esports51c1,030$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f84…c887backed DNSTY49c1,030$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed NOVO Esports50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.491428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b6c…0ef2backed DNSTY49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a8…3d60backed NOVO Esports51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc21b…2795backed DNSTY49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc9…341ebacked NOVO Esports51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c36…9c42backed NOVO Esports51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa02…f69cbacked DNSTY49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed NOVO Esports61c981.83$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.696167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4035…5f2cbacked DNSTY12c899.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-60.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a5…32bebacked NOVO Esports51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb96d…5628backed NOVO Esports51c780$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3379…4dafbacked NOVO Esports51c770$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce1…003fbacked NOVO Esports51c770$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b2…3f9dbacked NOVO Esports51c760$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf134…b631backed NOVO Esports51c760$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5056…1f9abacked NOVO Esports51c760$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9994…3b0dbacked NOVO Esports51c750$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2902…3fb6backed NOVO Esports51c750$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b5…244ebacked NOVO Esports51c750$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed DNSTY27c742.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf67…c520backed NOVO Esports51c690$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d42…d049backed NOVO Esports51c680$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdea…3f24backed NOVO Esports51c680$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca65…0730backed NOVO Esports51c680$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a9e…f0b7backed NOVO Esports51c680$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae4…3fd7backed NOVO Esports51c670$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78cc…1056backed NOVO Esports51c670$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9066…e3d2backed NOVO Esports51c670$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cd…ba37backed NOVO Esports51c660$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3b…f1f3backed NOVO Esports51c660$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c14…1bb2backed NOVO Esports51c660$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f6…8117backed NOVO Esports51c650$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3386…b061backed NOVO Esports70c429.27$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bb…4eeabacked NOVO Esports76c392.68$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed NOVO Esports54c318.98$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.553046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked NOVO Esports55c251.02$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed NOVO Esports63c250$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9314661.6%90 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed DNSTY49c248.16$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.327052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed DNSTY28c236.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3727411.3%31 W · 243 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed NOVO Esports53c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373f…4275backed NOVO Esports67c193.95$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed NOVO Esports55c183.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.355664.3%36 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26a0…9fcdbacked DNSTY47c163$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked DNSTY43c157.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8517543.4%76 W · 99 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02e…8fb2backed DNSTY40c155$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.75850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3311…4a25backed DNSTY43c138.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked DNSTY46c134.62$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9225745.9%118 W · 139 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc847…262fbacked NOVO Esports14c127.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.43560%3 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick12cpaid+381.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked DNSTY47c108$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7623548.5%114 W · 121 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked DNSTY47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4786747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked DNSTY44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6315042%63 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked DNSTY41c99.02$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked NOVO Esports52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.157960.8%48 W · 31 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed DNSTY48c96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.081435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed DNSTY30c84.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.433759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc128…5b3abacked NOVO Esports63c79.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.637454.1%40 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f37…b1d3backed DNSTY27c75.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed DNSTY32c66.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0614957.7%86 W · 63 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2694…415abacked DNSTY30c61.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.36425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+62.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NOVO Esports66c53.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.551,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed DNSTY35c53.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3970251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed DNSTY48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249750.5%49 W · 48 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed DNSTY35c49.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.619750.5%49 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked DNSTY28c42.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec48…d04cbacked DNSTY47c39.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.83148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a3…4a83backed DNSTY41c36.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-53%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7126…ccdbbacked NOVO Esports57c35.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed DNSTY31c34.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.592646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed NOVO Esports58c32.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4514757.8%85 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5928…6be0backed NOVO Esports67c29.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed NOVO Esports68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed NOVO Esports62c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9525752.1%134 W · 123 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb79b…a9d1backed NOVO Esports53c24.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.43540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed NOVO Esports55c22.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.963345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a23…81cabacked NOVO Esports57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d7…f17abacked NOVO Esports55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2292…abfabacked NOVO Esports65c16.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.