Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c304e2635be0f5bfe515976c4152b91bc8b33f3f0fb05f137895312df1def9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 28c | 43,958$12,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,469.21 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 72c | 28,566$20,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,998.48 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +4.4wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 72c | 4,859$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.48 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 4,272$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.07 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 72c | 3,200$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 1,648$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.43 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 73c | 1,057$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 758.45$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.57 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 71c | 655.02$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.96 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 641.26$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.87 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 69c | 588$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed No | 74c | 405.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.39 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 28c | 401.59$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 26c | 399.95$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 74c | 384.61$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…980bbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…1872backed Yes | 29c | 343.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 28c | 316.61$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 31c | 313.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 27c | 270.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 183.96$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 26c | 154.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 27c | 140$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 27c | 111.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 73c | 54.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 27c | 50.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 27c | 50.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…2baabacked Yes | 26c | 48.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 26c | 39.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 74c | 32.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…a9b1backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 29.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 73c | 20.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf20…1715backed No | 75c | 19.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6b…aaa8backed No | 75c | 19.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 74c | 18.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 78c | 15.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 79c | 15.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4e…eb4ebacked No | 75c | 14.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?this page
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-01?No won
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.