TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Argentina Open: Tomas Barrios vs Luciano Darderi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Darderiof Barrios, Darderi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,608 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc0ac…fd51backed Barrios30c28,033$8,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,37328444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Darderi75c17,309$12,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,353.452286.4%19 W · 3 L+6.4wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+50.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Barrios25c10,377$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,644.3623126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Darderi73c7,500$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Barrios0c4,478$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.662,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Barrios9c2,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Darderi68c2,480$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.793055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Barrios27c2,442$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.612634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a8…f031backed Darderi72c1,900$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5323100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+91.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x560a…a398backed Barrios28c1,890$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4890…03f1backed Barrios12c1,500$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.499916.2%16 W · 83 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Barrios8c1,484$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.032,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Barrios7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Barrios5c1,398$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4811215.2%17 W · 95 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ba…bbb6backed Darderi76c1,314$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.023647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ed…99dabacked Darderi73c1,250$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3bd…eb3abacked Barrios27c1,250$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Barrios28c1,120$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.143042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Darderi75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25045457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Darderi72c999.98$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.999567.4%64 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Barrios25c940.54$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0416029.4%47 W · 113 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Barrios7c700$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4918636%67 W · 119 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Barrios18c629.48$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.078,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Darderi48c600$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31520554.6%112 W · 93 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Barrios9c552.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4712722%28 W · 99 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Barrios25c501.52$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.414,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Darderi70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15046553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Darderi71c499.91$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.973132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Barrios4c438.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.733326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Barrios28c434.94$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1710739.3%42 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Darderi80c431.67$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.762,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Darderi71c419.99$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.859165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb475…2ed2backed Darderi30c408.81$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.431457.1%8 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.32per pick25cpaid+121.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Darderi70c365.38$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.617,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Darderi72c336.22$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1431753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Barrios30c328.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Darderi73c306.85$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.851,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Barrios26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Darderi70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9028747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Barrios25c296.76$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1976140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Darderi71c289.63$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9978152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3da…c91fbacked Darderi74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.275164.7%33 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Barrios29c221.61$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2740744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Darderi72c212$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5197046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3302…5397backed Darderi74c202.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.214158.5%24 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf60d…761abacked Darderi72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Darderi73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Barrios26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522650%13 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf4d…dfdbbacked Barrios7c185.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132528%7 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Barrios30c176.36$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5369350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Barrios26c174.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7149143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Darderi72c167.23$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2339872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Barrios12c153.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.392,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Darderi71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8557349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Darderi71c140.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.144346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Darderi72c138.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.121758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63f2…e0c9backed Darderi74c136$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.367356.2%41 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Barrios30c114.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2620043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Darderi72c113$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.391,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Barrios30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Barrios29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Darderi62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3816044.4%71 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b5c…a4fcbacked Darderi34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661586.7%13 W · 2 L+8.7wins+0.58per pick28cpaid+215%equal weight74+0.22 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Barrios27c98.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6218133.1%60 W · 121 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Barrios28c98.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2816340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Darderi74c94.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7317260.5%104 W · 68 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6132…7be0backed Darderi72c91.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7610655.7%59 W · 47 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Darderi50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4039850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c60…2227backed Barrios29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.210532.4%34 W · 71 L-10.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6fb5…ae96backed Darderi73c78.19$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.78560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Barrios23c75.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.683,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Darderi71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4225950.2%130 W · 129 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Darderi73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.498065%52 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d43…fc99backed Darderi74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.573271.9%23 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Darderi70c63$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1765647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb740…2ec1backed Darderi73c60.32$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2935157%200 W · 151 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05ba…f7f3backed Darderi73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a7a…733bbacked Barrios27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Darderi70c59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.992548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4712…5bd6backed Darderi72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5614475%108 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9069…0879backed Darderi72c55.27$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeed3…039bbacked Darderi74c55.15$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.341968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x614d…5a90backed Darderi73c54.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Darderi74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.052,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500d…f2a5backed Barrios29c51.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Barrios25c48.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2299056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfe4…8212backed Barrios29c48.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Barrios29c47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.631,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Darderi71c47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.557,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39cb…09d6backed Darderi76c46.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.057852.6%41 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Darderi72c44.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.621072.4%152 W · 58 L+0.8wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ec…da98backed Darderi72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6711165.8%73 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Darderi72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6710863.9%69 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2139backed Darderi72c41.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.644753.2%25 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00ec…1922backed Darderi75c41.18$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick65cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Darderi74c40.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6328764.1%184 W · 103 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6924…c49fbacked Darderi73c39.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Barrios29c38.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1442046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2393…8535backed Darderi74c32.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.362176.2%16 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e88…3189backed Darderi74c31.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.232277.3%17 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.