CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd955139538f491a84f82f0aeeb4cad5da9a3a86893c433177b1f87333e5a5280
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,431,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,455,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,431,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 482 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 390,169$99,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,051.19 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Vitality | 74c | 196,350$145,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,302.27 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Vitality | 74c | 108,909$80,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,316.36 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 105,255$29,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,471.5 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Aurora Gaming | 26c | 97,054$25,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,032.62 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Vitality | 74c | 83,399$61,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,683.74 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Aurora Gaming | 24c | 51,835$12,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,440.4 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Vitality | 76c | 39,474$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,473.68 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Vitality | 75c | 30,001$22,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,615.23 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 25,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 22,287$5,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,667.71 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Vitality | 74c | 21,782$16,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,598.03 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 26c | 20,542$5,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,341.84 | 659 | 50.4%332 W · 327 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559f…04a4backed Aurora Gaming | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…4e9ebacked Vitality | 75c | 17,573$13,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,393.33 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2218…9467backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 12,942$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 12,331$3,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882.71 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Aurora Gaming | 10c | 12,253$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.34 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Vitality | 75c | 12,222$9,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.5 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Vitality | 74c | 11,600$8,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.98 | 352 | 54%190 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Vitality | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Vitality | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 9,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 8,113$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.44 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Vitality | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Vitality | 75c | 7,936$5,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.81 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Vitality | 75c | 7,191$5,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.6 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 7,165$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.76 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 6,850$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Aurora Gaming | 14c | 6,452$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.94 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 5,933$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.03 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 5,926$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.76 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 5,600$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 5,271$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.95 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Aurora Gaming | 7c | 4,980$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.56 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Vitality | 71c | 4,898$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.22 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 4,702$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.26 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Aurora Gaming | 28c | 4,671$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.47 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962a…e2cdbacked Vitality | 76c | 4,337$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.26 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Vitality | 75c | 4,147$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.72 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Aurora Gaming | 26c | 4,038$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 4,000$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.47 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Vitality | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…2fe8backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…8ebcbacked Vitality | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…0955backed Aurora Gaming | 2c | 3,928$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 3,859$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.35 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 3,720$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vitality | 74c | 3,710$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.08 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 3,400$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.89 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 3,391$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.31 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 3,376$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.96 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Vitality | 75c | 3,240$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Vitality | 80c | 2,837$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.04 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 2,800$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 2,773$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.03 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 2,671$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.53 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a877backed Vitality | 77c | 2,577$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.67 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Vitality | 71c | 2,431$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.24 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 2,424$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.99 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 2,223$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.66 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Vitality | 75c | 2,003$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.69 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Vitality | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Aurora Gaming | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…ee84backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…f872backed Aurora Gaming | 3c | 1,981$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Vitality | 76c | 1,974$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.68 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked Vitality | 69c | 1,952$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.71 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e70…7214backed Vitality | 62c | 1,908$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 1,860$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Aurora Gaming | 24c | 1,845$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.61 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Vitality | 68c | 1,744$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.96 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…ee04backed Vitality | 76c | 1,600$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.42 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 1,555$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Vitality | 76c | 1,523$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.5 | 388 | 39.4%153 W · 235 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Aurora Gaming | 2c | 1,431$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 28c | 1,426$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.63 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Aurora Gaming | 4c | 1,385$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 1,356$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Vitality | 74c | 1,352$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.52 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Vitality | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 24c | 1,307$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.02 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Vitality | 79c | 1,259$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.49 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a2…7be5backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 1,250$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0114…22a6backed Vitality | 77c | 1,239$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.05 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 1,214$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.18 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Vitality | 76c | 1,200$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Vitality | 76c | 1,053$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.63 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 20c | 1,044$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.12 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…f1e0backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 1,004$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…b6ecbacked Vitality | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 189 | 59.8%113 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Aurora Gaming | 9c | 1,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 988.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 986.27$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.32 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 971.71$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…02d5backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Aurora Gaming | 9c | 956.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.