CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa4c99c4cfe2f3e5b622a91b641259df8a2dff77aaa7bb84176979b904a62258
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $350,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $379,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Aurora Gaming | 22c | 21,451$4,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,694.74 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 6,554$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.8 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Aurora Gaming | 23c | 5,113$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.82 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Vitality | 48c | 4,505$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.44 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Vitality | 57c | 4,359$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.8 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality | 43c | 3,524$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.9 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…0d75backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 2,938$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vitality | 64c | 2,938$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.65 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Vitality | 68c | 2,912$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.78 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Vitality | 56c | 2,744$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.81 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Aurora Gaming | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 2,343$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.39 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2218…9467backed Vitality | 77c | 2,342$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 2,339$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.85 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vitality | 35c | 2,290$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.82 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Vitality | 66c | 2,125$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.15 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0981…913ebacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 1,811$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.32 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…85f1backed Vitality | 67c | 1,180$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…5baebacked Vitality | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.28 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vitality | 43c | 1,137$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vitality | 56c | 1,103$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.33 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,093$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.58 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,028$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.63 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Vitality | 46c | 1,017$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.13 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 979.41$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.71 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Vitality | 73c | 975.59$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.41 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 949$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.5 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Vitality | 50c | 919.05$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.16 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 904.15$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Aurora Gaming | 21c | 894$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.34 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 839.71$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…3382backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 829.09$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.69 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Vitality | 76c | 800$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Vitality | 51c | 783.16$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.75 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…fbfcbacked Vitality | 37c | 778.61$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 777$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.67 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 757.57$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.81 | 84 | 16.7%14 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Vitality | 58c | 682.9$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.67 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 622$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.7 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Vitality | 64c | 621.76$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.76 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 591.44$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.45 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 568.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…f1e0backed Vitality | 54c | 526.71$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Vitality | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…3ef4backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked Vitality | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Vitality | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Vitality | 57c | 490$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.5 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…0832backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 488.53$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888a…ef47backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 474.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…b2b5backed Vitality | 61c | 444.5$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.01 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 439.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Vitality | 46c | 436.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.21 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 430.65$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.52 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Aurora Gaming | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Vitality | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 398.81$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.71 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc918…f848backed Vitality | 67c | 396.6$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 385.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…03a7backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 376.83$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Aurora Gaming | 22c | 363.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 351.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…091dbacked Aurora Gaming | 34c | 349.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc6…d353backed Vitality | 50c | 345.8$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 33c | 338.92$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.93 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 333.7$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Vitality | 66c | 320.25$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.95 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 316.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…966bbacked Vitality | 64c | 299.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Vitality | 62c | 299.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 299.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Vitality | 59c | 297.84$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Vitality | 67c | 297.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…6e17backed Vitality | 49c | 294.17$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.17 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…301abacked Vitality | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Vitality | 60c | 284.2$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 33c | 282.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…3a8cbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 268.18$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 261.21$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.44 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vitality | 67c | 260.76$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.82 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed Vitality | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 34c | 258.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Vitality | 44c | 227.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 220.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 216.31$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…8e0dbacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 203.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…0f33backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Vitality | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Vitality | 71c | 197.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 52.8%133 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff69…dbd2backed Vitality | 70c | 185.32$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Vitality | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Vitality | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 166.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked Vitality | 76c | 166.6$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Vitality | 59c | 165.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…c8b8backed Vitality | 67c | 156$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.