CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x272730b696f1da5974491ccd89f014da1f2786f7bb64698dc963aebeca1734a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Over | 45c | 469.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.2 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 42c | 256.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Under | 75c | 234.23$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Over | 50c | 201.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 54c | 180.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 50c | 171.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.97 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc6…d353backed Under | 66c | 155.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 38c | 122$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 46c | 106.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 64c | 92.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 61c | 90.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…9996backed Under | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 61c | 66.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Under | 55c | 60.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…4ecebacked Under | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…dee2backed Over | 46c | 49.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Over | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Under | 73c | 34.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 37c | 32.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Under | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…5f3ebacked Under | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 60c | 19.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under | 67c | 18.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.