CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6855c386121666ad2272bac10bf1e83a04890a63ace8797652796b0e9c72c439
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 20,096$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 7,640$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.81 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked Vitality | 72c | 5,120$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.71 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 4,191$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.81 | 229 | 41.9%96 W · 133 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…54a2backed Vitality | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Aurora Gaming | 9c | 3,983$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.87 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Vitality | 70c | 3,591$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.35 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.98 | 646 | 52.8%341 W · 305 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 2,992$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.67 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Vitality | 80c | 2,650$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.42 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vitality | 79c | 2,542$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.73 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Aurora Gaming | 11c | 2,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Vitality | 71c | 2,236$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.8 | 463 | 49.9%231 W · 232 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Vitality | 72c | 2,036$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.01 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vitality | 77c | 2,030$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.58 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Vitality | 73c | 1,750$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.94 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 1,622$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.38 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 1,595$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.46 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Vitality | 72c | 1,341$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.96 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ae…c89abacked Vitality | 74c | 1,187$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 931.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 906.98$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.59 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…68b8backed Vitality | 72c | 850.79$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.22 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Vitality | 70c | 801.73$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.52 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Aurora Gaming | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 750$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 733.33$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Vitality | 71c | 703.52$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.02 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 7c | 688.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 668.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 661 | 62.6%414 W · 247 L | +29.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 666.67$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…f1e0backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 614.02$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Vitality | 70c | 555.76$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.55 | 448 | 48.4%217 W · 231 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…03a7backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 490.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 466.73$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 427.35$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Aurora Gaming | 7c | 421.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e94…85e6backed Vitality | 72c | 418.69$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora Gaming | 9c | 404$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Vitality | 74c | 342.12$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888a…ef47backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 310$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…85f1backed Vitality | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…c023backed Vitality | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…2c00backed Vitality | 72c | 281.1$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Vitality | 71c | 274.23$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…77fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 7c | 246.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de4…cd16backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Aurora Gaming | 9c | 191$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked Aurora Gaming | 27c | 188.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Aurora Gaming | 24c | 187.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…c2bbbacked Vitality | 71c | 186.68$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…93f2backed Vitality | 72c | 179.65$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 173.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Aurora Gaming | 20c | 172$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 7c | 169$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…8e0dbacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 155.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 150.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Vitality | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 319 | 54.5%174 W · 145 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Aurora Gaming | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Aurora Gaming | 13c | 122.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Vitality | 70c | 120.33$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…a85cbacked Vitality | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc57a…fe9fbacked Vitality | 71c | 107.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Vitality | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 873 | 51.2%447 W · 426 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…dd4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 96.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…5403backed Aurora Gaming | 13c | 96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 94.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 93.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Vitality | 72c | 91.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 231 | 61.5%142 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…fbfcbacked Vitality | 74c | 73.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Vitality | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 69.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 704 | 23.9%168 W · 536 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…af48backed Vitality | 74c | 61.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…92cfbacked Vitality | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7252…8f5fbacked Vitality | 72c | 53.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed Vitality | 71c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1177…2e11backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 47.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d67…0481backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -61%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe640…6f8dbacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vitality | 70c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 41.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4a…0561backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 40.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 40.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Vitality | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 38.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 35.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…85b9backed Vitality | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Vitality | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 142 | 62%88 W · 54 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…0af4backed Vitality | 71c | 16.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Vitality | 71c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.