TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7cd…03a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+42.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+120.6%+$162.83
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$120
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$153.65
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.28
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+38.6%+$139.08
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Play-Inbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+406%+$426.25
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+45%+$224.13
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Play-Inbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.8
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$43
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$31.5
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$85.71
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.7%+$30.98
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$144.12
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26.2%+$166
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+44.3%+$138.51
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$37.03
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30.7
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+25.4%+$4.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
SIUE Cougars vs. Lindenwood Lionsbacked Lindenwood Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Dolphinsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$37.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+41.7%+$29.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $90 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.