TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1 Academyof T1 Academy, HANJIN BRION Challengers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,544
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,544 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fe1…4d7fbacked T1 Academy63c12,475$7,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,642.9312161.2%74 W · 47 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers0c12,400$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.87869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed HANJIN BRION Challengers2c11,925$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.794134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed HANJIN BRION Challengers28c7,532$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.121,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked HANJIN BRION Challengers20c6,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17075942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed HANJIN BRION Challengers36c5,918$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.328648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed T1 Academy63c5,144$3,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.0320438.2%78 W · 126 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed T1 Academy64c5,133$3,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84811750.4%59 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked HANJIN BRION Challengers16c4,759$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.831,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed HANJIN BRION Challengers1c4,444$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.443775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed HANJIN BRION Challengers38c4,343$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,63516034.4%55 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed HANJIN BRION Challengers15c3,010$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.518914.8%28 W · 161 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed HANJIN BRION Challengers2c2,135$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3639239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed HANJIN BRION Challengers39c1,800$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.9982554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked HANJIN BRION Challengers25c1,374$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.985046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed HANJIN BRION Challengers11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11019839.9%79 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked HANJIN BRION Challengers28c942.56$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.512,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed T1 Academy64c831.79$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.4427735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd647…909abacked T1 Academy74c611.7$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.78100%8 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed HANJIN BRION Challengers33c597.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed HANJIN BRION Challengers37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017544%77 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98c6…3d1ebacked HANJIN BRION Challengers37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed HANJIN BRION Challengers3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1586758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…03a7backed T1 Academy72c499.86$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.081172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+42.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed HANJIN BRION Challengers28c460$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.894144.6%420 W · 521 L-2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed HANJIN BRION Challengers39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked T1 Academy65c400$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13828855.9%161 W · 127 L-20.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed T1 Academy77c361.99$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2614562.1%90 W · 55 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed T1 Academy79c349.99$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.530661.1%187 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed HANJIN BRION Challengers30c335.73$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.363,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked T1 Academy65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers40c264.69$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.032536%9 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f76…6323backed HANJIN BRION Challengers5c260$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.221810.1%22 W · 196 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed T1 Academy66c240$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.628458.5%166 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10092354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1412…b6debacked T1 Academy72c230.36$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6914153.9%76 W · 65 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed T1 Academy62c220.97$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0796149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee9d…85f1backed T1 Academy71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5813056.9%74 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc19b…a935backed T1 Academy64c199.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7121937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed T1 Academy60c191$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.443148%207 W · 224 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed HANJIN BRION Challengers31c169.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.691,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf4…20c2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers36c168.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked T1 Academy61c159.49$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.211141.4%46 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed T1 Academy66c148$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.321,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed HANJIN BRION Challengers34c148$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3210931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x75a4…3ff7backed T1 Academy71c141.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.828269.5%57 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a16…2243backed HANJIN BRION Challengers36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked T1 Academy72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.899051.1%46 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers15c136.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.071,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers24c121.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9733552.8%177 W · 158 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed HANJIN BRION Challengers41c121.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047951.4%246 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c20…6fd4backed T1 Academy66c119.36$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.368444%37 W · 47 L-12.8wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-30.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed T1 Academy77c112.8$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4922349.3%110 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe6fa…ac8fbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers9c112.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063448.1%305 W · 329 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x848c…bfebbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers20c109.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.181241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked T1 Academy71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.392,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9176…0468backed T1 Academy60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4013569.6%94 W · 41 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2143138.1%164 W · 267 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd198…8797backed T1 Academy79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2118362.3%114 W · 69 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9419…a40fbacked T1 Academy67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd59e…da59backed HANJIN BRION Challengers20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x985b…ce2cbacked T1 Academy65c92.25$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.253056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed HANJIN BRION Challengers23c87.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.321,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63f2…e0c9backed T1 Academy59c85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3518161.3%111 W · 70 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed T1 Academy60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f9…3f4fbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers30c80.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.25540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b0…b4f4backed T1 Academy67c79.88$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fc…2d90backed T1 Academy71c77.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.631776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed HANJIN BRION Challengers31c73.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8114145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers14c71.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.193957.1%28 W · 367 L-122.2wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.1%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0xaaf5…95adbacked T1 Academy64c70.76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.224957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa32…58dcbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers32c62.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed T1 Academy64c61.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.167754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed T1 Academy65c60.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2724750.6%125 W · 122 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd70c…3da8backed T1 Academy65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6760…3ad4backed HANJIN BRION Challengers40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked HANJIN BRION Challengers23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.522636.7%83 W · 143 L-16.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe438…d8adbacked T1 Academy69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.513660.3%82 W · 54 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bb0…d1bbbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers34c47.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.11526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0739…15a0backed T1 Academy70c46.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.952532%8 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9e4…c4b2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers44c46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2426861.6%165 W · 103 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b30…99cdbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers26c42.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.973256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7178…8fb9backed T1 Academy60c41.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5313057.7%75 W · 55 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.460124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed HANJIN BRION Challengers34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.617241.9%72 W · 100 L-15.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers28c37.09$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3837245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf78…6d09backed HANJIN BRION Challengers36c36.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137946.8%37 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x628d…612dbacked T1 Academy59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.93661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed0…eae7backed T1 Academy77c33.54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.833568.6%24 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c44…e531backed HANJIN BRION Challengers42c31.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked T1 Academy77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.945344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc448…d166backed T1 Academy69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.31580%12 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+25.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed HANJIN BRION Challengers36c29.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.842441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-24.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50f7…3da2backed T1 Academy69c28.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.951662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked T1 Academy71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1722858.3%133 W · 95 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2c…f983backed T1 Academy73c26.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.196157.4%35 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed T1 Academy77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.643947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a36…74b8backed T1 Academy65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked T1 Academy71c17.07$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.962060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.