Tennis · resolved market
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51278c82be9d46f16cb8d09f48aad90079249978edaad34379d8d22c53c07992
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Fritz, Nakashima
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437c…f458backed Nakashima | 33c | 21,000$6,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,863.89 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Fritz | 59c | 14,482$8,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,998.51 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nakashima | 21c | 13,535$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.15 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Fritz | 57c | 10,201$5,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,386.22 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nakashima | 41c | 8,931$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,661.99 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…919bbacked Nakashima | 42c | 8,483$3,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Fritz | 52c | 5,899$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.56 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nakashima | 36c | 3,547$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.62 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Fritz | 59c | 3,411$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.38 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Fritz | 58c | 3,221$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.85 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Fritz | 67c | 2,987$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.3 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Nakashima | 29c | 2,578$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.85 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nakashima | 42c | 2,425$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.5 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Nakashima | 43c | 2,352$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Fritz | 64c | 2,039$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.68 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb62f…6836backed Nakashima | 11c | 1,700$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Fritz | 62c | 1,624$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.24 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Fritz | 62c | 1,616$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.27 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Fritz | 58c | 1,434$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.24 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Nakashima | 41c | 1,424$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.71 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nakashima | 20c | 1,282$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.87 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Nakashima | 42c | 1,230$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.72 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Fritz | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nakashima | 41c | 1,121$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.6 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fritz | 58c | 953.72$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.64 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9206…42a6backed Fritz | 60c | 934.59$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.59 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Fritz | 64c | 926$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Fritz | 62c | 808.02$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.05 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe600…0a11backed Nakashima | 40c | 801.47$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fritz | 53c | 787$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.01 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Fritz | 58c | 774.12$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.13 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Nakashima | 2c | 748.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Nakashima | 44c | 723.53$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.44 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Fritz | 59c | 626.25$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.29 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Nakashima | 41c | 559.55$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.26 | 360 | 32.5%117 W · 243 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Fritz | 63c | 519$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.16 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Fritz | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Fritz | 73c | 474.91$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.29 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Fritz | 59c | 471.64$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.37 | 871 | 35.4%308 W · 563 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Fritz | 59c | 441.16$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.16 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Fritz | 60c | 417$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.8 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Fritz | 76c | 367.23$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Fritz | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Fritz | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Nakashima | 18c | 333$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…883cbacked Fritz | 59c | 332.55$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.55 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nakashima | 42c | 304$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Nakashima | 36c | 303.64$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Fritz | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Fritz | 55c | 300$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Fritz | 62c | 295$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nakashima | 15c | 291.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241a…a9c8backed Fritz | 59c | 278.93$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Nakashima | 27c | 274.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Fritz | 57c | 265.71$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fritz | 57c | 252.41$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.71 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Fritz | 58c | 251.29$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…dea9backed Fritz | 59c | 246.19$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Fritz | 64c | 244.88$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Nakashima | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Nakashima | 42c | 238.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…6a55backed Fritz | 59c | 227.12$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6c…5f42backed Fritz | 62c | 222.58$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Nakashima | 18c | 222.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nakashima | 39c | 211.57$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Fritz | 58c | 209.46$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.97 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Fritz | 62c | 209.25$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nakashima | 39c | 207.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Fritz | 59c | 206.78$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Nakashima | 38c | 188.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Fritz | 58c | 185.01$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Nakashima | 8c | 184.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Fritz | 59c | 176$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -13.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Nakashima | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Nakashima | 37c | 172.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Nakashima | 41c | 172$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fritz | 53c | 171.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Fritz | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Fritz | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…9b8cbacked Fritz | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Nakashima | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Fritz | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…5397backed Fritz | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Fritz | 70c | 157$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Fritz | 58c | 156.31$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Nakashima | 42c | 145.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…43e8backed Fritz | 59c | 141.17$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa069…eb1bbacked Fritz | 64c | 135.69$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…8b12backed Fritz | 59c | 120.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…c126backed Fritz | 58c | 118.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Fritz | 59c | 118.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 836 | 61%510 W · 326 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Nakashima | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nakashima | 40c | 113.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 174 | 45.4%79 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62be…444cbacked Fritz | 60c | 105.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Fritz | 57c | 104.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Fritz | 66c | 101.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Fritz | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Fritz | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Nakashima | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nakashima | 41c | 92.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs NakashimaFritz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.