TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gauffof Gauff, Eala
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,281 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Eala58c4,000$2,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.9815447.4%73 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Gauff45c2,862$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.677,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Eala55c1,821$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00041645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6c…8f4ebacked Eala55c1,771$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.81145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b9…12e4backed Gauff45c1,771$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.81050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Gauff42c1,263$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.3122747.6%108 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Gauff44c1,108$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.324,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c02…7fdcbacked Eala56c977.66$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502475%18 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Gauff47c641.3$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.7946553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Eala14c589.26$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4138931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Gauff48c517.19$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.3458438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gauff42c489.35$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.823,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Gauff44c465.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9511045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Gauff49c418.36$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.969040%36 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Eala61c326.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gauff47c292.05$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.941,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Eala56c214.06$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Gauff50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10028543.5%124 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Gauff53c187.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.862545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63f2…e0c9backed Eala55c185.73$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.987356.2%41 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c35…e403backed Eala54c177.81$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Eala57c175.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023353.2%124 W · 109 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Eala50c174.38$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Gauff42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.052,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Gauff56c102.52$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1117056.5%96 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Eala59c102.02$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6037854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf002…275ebacked Gauff42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Eala54c92.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050952.1%265 W · 244 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Eala51c92.08$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.286918.8%13 W · 56 L-11.0wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-50.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Eala53c76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0461953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Gauff45c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.532842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Eala56c66.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3769350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Gauff47c61.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.221,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc23…1c7dbacked Gauff48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.084654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Eala56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2824055%132 W · 108 L-15.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Eala54c49.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9925051.2%128 W · 122 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Eala55c45.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2595742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64f8…8cadbacked Eala57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Gauff44c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.967,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Eala29c37.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1124931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Gauff46c36.96$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9620643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba8…90a3backed Eala56c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.648852.9%258 W · 230 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…dc37backed Eala56c34.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2410654.7%58 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Gauff47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.988455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81bc…1d7abacked Eala56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Eala51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.752339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Eala57c24.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.774946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.