NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa81a016f6a423279f2544bb27dd7b2d680ed3675cf27f890cd096c15a9177bf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Kings | 58c | 87,440$50,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,584.33 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 45c | 80,639$36,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,248.51 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Kings | 60c | 20,031$12,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,992.53 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Kings | 58c | 17,500$10,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Penguins | 42c | 16,178$6,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,758.97 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kings | 59c | 10,760$6,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,453.28 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 41c | 9,835$4,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,073.14 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Kings | 58c | 8,995$5,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.86 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 40c | 8,500$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,390 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Penguins | 51c | 6,594$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.52 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Penguins | 40c | 5,013$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.28 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Penguins | 40c | 4,632$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.45 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Penguins | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.04 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kings | 58c | 3,493$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.36 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…0de1backed Penguins | 42c | 3,440$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…ca8dbacked Kings | 58c | 3,440$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Penguins | 40c | 3,008$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kings | 58c | 2,834$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.09 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 54c | 2,812$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.22 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Penguins | 42c | 2,795$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.9 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Penguins | 51c | 2,699$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penguins | 51c | 2,670$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.8 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Penguins | 39c | 2,562$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.18 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Penguins | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Kings | 58c | 2,341$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.6 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Penguins | 42c | 1,909$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kings | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Penguins | 42c | 1,857$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Penguins | 39c | 1,821$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 59c | 1,639$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.88 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 49c | 1,549$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.68 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Penguins | 42c | 1,462$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.31 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Penguins | 47c | 1,421$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.69 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings | 58c | 1,375$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.5 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Penguins | 51c | 1,252$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.98 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 41c | 1,236$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.9 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Penguins | 39c | 1,094$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.78 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Penguins | 44c | 1,039$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.87 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Penguins | 43c | 1,036$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.43 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73df…3687backed Penguins | 42c | 1,010$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Kings | 74c | 1,009$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.31 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Penguins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings | 58c | 998$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.16 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked Penguins | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Kings | 59c | 958.26$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.01 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Penguins | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Kings | 58c | 799.98$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.99 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…3740backed Penguins | 47c | 744.68$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Penguins | 44c | 700$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Penguins | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kings | 59c | 680.31$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.93 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Penguins | 52c | 615.12$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.91 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kings | 58c | 596$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.32 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec6…bbc3backed Kings | 58c | 580$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Penguins | 40c | 525$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Kings | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Penguins | 39c | 500.95$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.37 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…d988backed Penguins | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed Penguins | 42c | 480$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed Penguins | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Penguins | 48c | 463.54$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.61 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd534…eb56backed Kings | 58c | 429.98$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…4538backed Kings | 59c | 420$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Penguins | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Kings | 57c | 300$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kings | 50c | 281.11$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.65 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Kings | 56c | 268$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Penguins | 52c | 266.74$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.71 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…d5c7backed Kings | 61c | 263.52$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kings | 58c | 262.84$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…8320backed Kings | 61c | 257$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 53c | 253.17$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.07 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Penguins | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Penguins | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -15.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Penguins | 41c | 249.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Kings | 52c | 248.1$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…979abacked Penguins | 41c | 244.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Penguins | 41c | 244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…33cfbacked Kings | 58c | 243$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Penguins | 75c | 233.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Penguins | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb7…8d07backed Penguins | 41c | 221.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a02…b099backed Kings | 50c | 214.82$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Penguins | 48c | 211.92$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Penguins | 47c | 211.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x244c…ab3ebacked Penguins | 40c | 207$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kings | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Penguins | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins | 40c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Penguins | 41c | 197.54$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5a…a79cbacked Penguins | 40c | 179$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Penguins | 41c | 174.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Penguins | 48c | 160.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Penguins | 28c | 155$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Kings | 54c | 151.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…0e6abacked Penguins | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Penguins | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Penguins | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e39…3122backed Penguins | 70c | 142.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Penguinsthis page
- Kings vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kings vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.