Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13216be665753e2a8bb735b9f1b9090fc7bdb3cfa25e9763fc799c378bbd9dbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Spirit Academy, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Spirit Academy | 52c | 1,404$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.35 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 847.68$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.36 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…7618backed Spirit Academy | 13c | 684.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…01b2backed Spirit Academy | 29c | 629$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Rune Eaters | 78c | 561.31$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.73 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 556.22$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.5 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Rune Eaters | 64c | 529.87$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…d6a4backed Spirit Academy | 41c | 483.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 461.02$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.9 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Spirit Academy | 24c | 409.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit Academy | 21c | 342.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc2…f578backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 324$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 318.18$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Spirit Academy | 19c | 307.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…93c6backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 305$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Spirit Academy | 19c | 272.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Rune Eaters | 75c | 264.7$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 303 | 51.2%155 W · 148 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 252$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…16acbacked Spirit Academy | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Rune Eaters | 69c | 199.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Spirit Academy | 29c | 146$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 140.57$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed Rune Eaters | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Rune Eaters | 72c | 138.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3e…8ee6backed Spirit Academy | 15c | 129.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Spirit Academy | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Spirit Academy | 24c | 116.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 110.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Spirit Academy | 29c | 102$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…4a19backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…eef1backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…3c0abacked Spirit Academy | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…8a3cbacked Rune Eaters | 72c | 98.74$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Spirit Academy | 35c | 93.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Spirit Academy | 27c | 86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f23…c331backed Spirit Academy | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…9cf6backed Spirit Academy | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…da73backed Spirit Academy | 26c | 76.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…8cadbacked Spirit Academy | 31c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 77c | 62.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Spirit Academy | 29c | 62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Spirit Academy | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 58.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 56.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4c…f375backed Spirit Academy | 31c | 53.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Spirit Academy | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…dc37backed Spirit Academy | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0473…0f94backed Spirit Academy | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 43.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Rune Eaters | 70c | 40.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Rune Eaters | 76c | 39.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1550…2046backed Spirit Academy | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Spirit Academy | 29c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…83e0backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Rune Eaters | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 29.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…f020backed Spirit Academy | 47c | 28.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 27.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…7b86backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 26.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862b…a6a6backed Rune Eaters | 72c | 26.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Rune Eaters | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Rune Eaters | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Rune Eaters | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Rune Eaters | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285d…f500backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 17.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Rune Eaters | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.