Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x245b8db536a8e8609277219395333d57dbdcd0d1bc7abe5141cc064e626f7302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 62c | 80,589$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 37c | 28,985$10,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,260.55 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 39c | 16,710$6,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,193.25 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 11,987$4,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,995.98 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Under | 58c | 8,357$4,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,846.98 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 64c | 5,461$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.89 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Over | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 44c | 3,409$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.46 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 3,324$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.47 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 37c | 3,312$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.42 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 39c | 3,185$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.23 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 65c | 1,889$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.27 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Under | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 39c | 1,197$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.41 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 42c | 1,196$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.18 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Over | 41c | 1,152$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 25c | 1,074$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.77 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 35c | 1,073$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 38c | 900$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 40c | 766.67$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 45c | 666$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Over | 73c | 664.66$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.65 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 57c | 651.13$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.15 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 70c | 643.41$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.41 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over | 78c | 627.21$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked Under | 55c | 622.15$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…6dd0backed Under | 37c | 541.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 71c | 505$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.38 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…e0cabacked Under | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 46c | 482.28$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.35 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 29c | 470.28$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.67 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 56c | 444$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.64 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 71c | 403.75$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.82 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 63c | 399.97$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 42c | 364.29$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.29 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 65c | 360.18$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Under | 33c | 304.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 62c | 249.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 38c | 234$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.08 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 40c | 220$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 29c | 213.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821e…4e0ebacked Over | 76c | 199.74$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Over | 72c | 136.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 60c | 130.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Under | 58c | 118.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Under | 13c | 114.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 9c | 111.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Under | 55c | 111.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 59c | 111$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 29c | 106.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 64c | 105.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 30c | 104$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…69e3backed Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2321…6a04backed Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 45c | 99.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 39c | 91.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 55c | 91.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf924…bdd7backed Under | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 26c | 82.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 29c | 79.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…dc37backed Over | 45c | 67.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed Under | 35c | 64.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 60c | 58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 43c | 57.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…45e7backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 42c | 50.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x608d…3933backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…f4d2backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Under | 58c | 47.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830a…ba19backed Under | 45c | 44.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832f…df63backed Under | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x706a…4b9fbacked Over | 43c | 40.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 59c | 36.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over | 42c | 35.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…4ed9backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f8…265dbacked Over | 63c | 33.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7825…89a0backed Under | 45c | 32.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…a61ebacked Under | 57c | 30.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.