Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d0847041b74ae319de14bae39ee93e1b5ed08f54813cab667360bcc53c32c31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Münchenof FC Bayern München, VfL Wolfsburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked FC Bayern München | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.86 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 49c | 10,494$5,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,142.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…f388backed VfL Wolfsburg | 52c | 9,873$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,169.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Bayern München | 65c | 9,559$6,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.62 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed VfL Wolfsburg | 4c | 5,805$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed VfL Wolfsburg | 46c | 4,909$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed VfL Wolfsburg | 12c | 4,265$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.37 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 51c | 4,004$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked FC Bayern München | 50c | 3,144$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed FC Bayern München | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed FC Bayern München | 75c | 2,788$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.5 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed FC Bayern München | 37c | 2,421$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.23 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed VfL Wolfsburg | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 1,863$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 1,483$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.13 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed VfL Wolfsburg | 47c | 1,326$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.25 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked VfL Wolfsburg | 34c | 1,248$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.67 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed VfL Wolfsburg | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked FC Bayern München | 51c | 1,091$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed VfL Wolfsburg | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FC Bayern München | 52c | 999.96$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked VfL Wolfsburg | 30c | 908.36$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.59 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed VfL Wolfsburg | 45c | 797.96$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.85 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed FC Bayern München | 53c | 756.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.53 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 705.52$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.7 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…0923backed VfL Wolfsburg | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked VfL Wolfsburg | 45c | 559.13$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.61 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…8fbfbacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed FC Bayern München | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…54cebacked VfL Wolfsburg | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed VfL Wolfsburg | 46c | 394.86$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.83 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 50c | 393$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.5 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 391.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed FC Bayern München | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed FC Bayern München | 52c | 340$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked FC Bayern München | 35c | 261.76$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 220.32$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…e65abacked FC Bayern München | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed VfL Wolfsburg | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed VfL Wolfsburg | 15c | 193.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed VfL Wolfsburg | 49c | 191.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked FC Bayern München | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 15c | 171.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked FC Bayern München | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1a2dbacked FC Bayern München | 66c | 152.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed VfL Wolfsburg | 49c | 152.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…e82fbacked FC Bayern München | 51c | 150.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed VfL Wolfsburg | 26c | 150.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f8…d47abacked FC Bayern München | 67c | 148.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…0060backed FC Bayern München | 55c | 148.65$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed VfL Wolfsburg | 49c | 145.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…9a78backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed FC Bayern München | 52c | 134.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed FC Bayern München | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed VfL Wolfsburg | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked FC Bayern München | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked FC Bayern München | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed FC Bayern München | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed VfL Wolfsburg | 50c | 96.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked VfL Wolfsburg | 53c | 93.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked FC Bayern München | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked FC Bayern München | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked FC Bayern München | 55c | 72.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed VfL Wolfsburg | 49c | 64.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…a64dbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked FC Bayern München | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed VfL Wolfsburg | 56c | 59.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked FC Bayern München | 45c | 59.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed FC Bayern München | 38c | 53.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 50c | 52.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 50.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 50.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…a266backed FC Bayern München | 58c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed VfL Wolfsburg | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -69%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 43.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed VfL Wolfsburg | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608d…3933backed VfL Wolfsburg | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5098…48debacked FC Bayern München | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked FC Bayern München | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68c…779dbacked FC Bayern München | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…7627backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 39.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…2c0abacked FC Bayern München | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4682…de69backed FC Bayern München | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…2604backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 35.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed FC Bayern München | 68c | 34.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed FC Bayern München | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked FC Bayern München | 46c | 30.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…5bb9backed VfL Wolfsburg | 69c | 30.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed FC Bayern München | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed VfL Wolfsburg | 46c | 26.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked VfL Wolfsburg | 46c | 26.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed VfL Wolfsburg | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)this page
- FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.