NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78677117bb0e40740334beb87540130dcefb35cef11860431cd55b359454420f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Ducks, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $969,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $927,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $969,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Avalanche | 70c | 279,406$195,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,182.65 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Ducks | 30c | 81,214$24,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,364.19 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks | 16c | 74,987$12,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,147.79 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Avalanche | 69c | 62,220$43,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,979.84 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Avalanche | 76c | 48,487$36,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,767.43 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ducks | 31c | 40,000$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,400 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 30c | 24,200$7,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,260.05 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Ducks | 44c | 23,791$10,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,452.54 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Ducks | 32c | 23,352$7,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,534.58 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ducks | 30c | 22,425$6,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,727.52 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Ducks | 30c | 20,757$6,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,227.1 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4987…804bbacked Ducks | 1c | 18,436$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Ducks | 30c | 18,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked Ducks | 31c | 16,613$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Avalanche | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Ducks | 30c | 13,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.9 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Ducks | 42c | 12,615$5,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,240.94 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Ducks | 31c | 12,610$3,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,854.01 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ducks | 21c | 10,440$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.52 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 31c | 10,203$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.63 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Avalanche | 69c | 9,985$6,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,095.33 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Avalanche | 67c | 8,995$6,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.33 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 26c | 8,777$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.39 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Ducks | 31c | 8,475$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.73 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Ducks | 29c | 8,353$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.88 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 30c | 8,251$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche | 73c | 7,906$5,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.64 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Ducks | 31c | 7,410$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.34 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…7b55backed Ducks | 31c | 7,126$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Ducks | 23c | 6,791$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.01 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Ducks | 33c | 6,061$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Avalanche | 69c | 5,400$3,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.99 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Ducks | 31c | 5,144$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.64 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Ducks | 30c | 5,054$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.75 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Ducks | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Ducks | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ducks | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Ducks | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Ducks | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Ducks | 31c | 4,749$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.93 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Avalanche | 69c | 4,590$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.9 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ducks | 11c | 4,497$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.66 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…8beebacked Ducks | 23c | 4,379$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ducks | 30c | 4,242$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.53 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fb…b8e1backed Avalanche | 70c | 4,235$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Ducks | 30c | 3,447$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.5 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Ducks | 30c | 3,348$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.45 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Ducks | 26c | 3,327$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.84 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…c23bbacked Ducks | 4c | 3,300$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Ducks | 1c | 3,241$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ducks | 16c | 3,106$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.82 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Ducks | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Ducks | 30c | 2,800$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 19c | 2,632$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.23 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Avalanche | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Ducks | 5c | 2,500$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche | 69c | 2,444$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.62 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Ducks | 30c | 2,367$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.05 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Ducks | 31c | 2,300$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Ducks | 29c | 2,250$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.49 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Ducks | 32c | 2,219$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a30…b575backed Ducks | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Ducks | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…8ca0backed Ducks | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Avalanche | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Ducks | 31c | 1,797$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.14 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Avalanche | 66c | 1,519$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.8 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…5ea1backed Ducks | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…af12backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,515$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Ducks | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Ducks | 31c | 1,394$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Ducks | 34c | 1,365$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.12 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Ducks | 31c | 1,357$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.26 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf9…ce61backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,350$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Avalanche | 24c | 1,300$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Ducks | 30c | 1,300$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,275$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.34 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Ducks | 4c | 1,271$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Ducks | 26c | 1,216$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.54 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Ducks | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.97 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 67c | 1,176$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.1 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ducks | 25c | 1,142$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.22 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Ducks | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Ducks | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Ducks | 32c | 1,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Avalanche | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Avalanche | 71c | 986.18$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.99 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Avalanche | 69c | 900$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed Ducks | 28c | 900$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead6…7a33backed Ducks | 31c | 880.84$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ducks | 30c | 833$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Ducks | 27c | 821$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.91 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Avalanche | 66c | 816$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.58 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…abc0backed Ducks | 21c | 800$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Avalanche | 59c | 796.88$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.65 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Ducks | 22c | 762.74$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Ducks | 35c | 761$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.35 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Avalanche | 67c | 756.14$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.52 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Avalanchethis page
- Ducks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.