TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$404,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$476,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,141 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No12c48,123$5,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,818.321,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked No0c44,606$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.7620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No24c19,752$4,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,798.171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No42c13,080$5,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,493.584940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No42c12,108$5,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,053.9652550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes58c11,418$6,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.6114337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes57c10,057$5,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,324.369159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No1c8,484$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.841650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes58c7,581$4,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,188.4624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No5c6,816$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.921,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No42c6,378$2,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,678.916454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No40c6,127$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.1235650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c5,639$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,371.1487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Yes58c5,366$3,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.721485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+72.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No42c5,214$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1904447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0002128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No6c4,770$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.8648649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No43c4,658$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0033050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No43c4,617$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.1362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Yes59c4,350$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8031566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes60c3,833$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.332466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Yes58c3,405$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdd…6da4backed Yes58c3,400$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2606553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29012839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9914654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c1…e644backed Yes58c2,695$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No42c2,368$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.7229949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No10c2,191$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.165040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No42c1,893$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.1217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed No42c1,868$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.271450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.922744.4%12 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No24c1,615$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.472015%3 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-63.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No22c1,524$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.837638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63017329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No41c1,448$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.6528448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked No42c1,225$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.21520%3 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-57.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No42c1,163$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.44812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x155d…2525backed Yes57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4304100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed Yes58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.073100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.465255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes58c820.62$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.6623151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes58c671.5$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.741060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed Yes59c605.58$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes55c599.99$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2685060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes57c599.99$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2554940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No43c599.98$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.223951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes58c596.81$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes58c560.79$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.534723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes59c480.29$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf56a…fe7cbacked No42c441.36$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No37c431.51$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2933938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes59c424.17$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.913132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…b8ffbacked Yes59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.731250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No3c416$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.48728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-57.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes57c400$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16810545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes79c393.31$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.84666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes59c384.83$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.782437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8978…11b8backed Yes58c382.41$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No42c367$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1415455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No42c346$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3212147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes58c345.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.835135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418d…baf6backed Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.83771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Yes58c344.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No42c315.73$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6131049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12610838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fd…9499backed Yes67c297.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf85f…67c2backed Yes58c290.14$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+61.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No44c271.42$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked No41c267.66$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.73647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes59c262.2$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.363148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes58c245$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.94151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e60…f42cbacked Yes59c240.03$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.412560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No42c240$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.811644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed No42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes59c231.36$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No41c229.82$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2211250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes57c227.57$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7214045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b69…3c31backed Yes58c221.67$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf121…6903backed No9c210.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8580%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes57c208.77$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7723250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a75…ed14backed Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick36cpaid+75.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc067…e97cbacked Yes59c196.61$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.611283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+58.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xec15…86abbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff2b…527abacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.