Mls · resolved market

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x022c313ce4006935a903dabec6227886eadfb7249c3837bcc344fe04c034e50d

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $52,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $54,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,061 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under	72c	9,451$6,799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,652.2	989	45.4%449 W · 540 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	45c	3,945$1,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,778.43	530	40.6%215 W · 315 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	17c	3,848$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.94	270	58.9%159 W · 111 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	58c	3,430$1,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,451.04	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	45c	2,569$1,147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,147.14	1,270	48%610 W · 660 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over	44c	2,069$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.36	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d3d…6039backed Under	45c	1,943$881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,061.92	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	45c	1,863$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.52	333	46.8%156 W · 177 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed Over	44c	1,034$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over	45c	1,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-4.8wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over	52c	849$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.45	126	67.5%85 W · 41 L	+11.2wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	47c	663.29$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.61	923	46.6%430 W · 493 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over	43c	660.31$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.61	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-6.1wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under	54c	642.78$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.65	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	34c	616.88$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.9	1,262	45.2%571 W · 691 L	-28.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	48c	552.8$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.62	116	33.6%39 W · 77 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	46c	515.9$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.97	734	38.1%280 W · 454 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over	28c	437.21$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.39	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+15%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Under	55c	436.36$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.36	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.3wins	+0.33per pick	53cpaid	+77.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under	58c	418.56$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.39	444	47.3%210 W · 234 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under	42c	359.89$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.34	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+5.5wins	+0.37per pick	43cpaid	+87.7%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	57c	354.11$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.51	240	46.7%112 W · 128 L	-15.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under	56c	335.07$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.81	126	50.8%64 W · 62 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over	47c	319.15$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	99	40.4%40 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	58c	310.27$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.79	993	40.1%398 W · 595 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	6c	280.86$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.49	1,009	46.2%466 W · 543 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under	78c	273.01$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.06	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Over	47c	272$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.84	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+3.5wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under	60c	271$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.62	352	47.7%168 W · 184 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	45c	256$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.2	270	47%127 W · 143 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over	18c	255.16$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.55	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	42c	220.48$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.51	128	39.8%51 W · 77 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under	53c	200.49$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.23	106	28.3%30 W · 76 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af8…db25backed Over	47c	191.49$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Over	28c	178.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over	23c	155.05$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.52	220	42.7%94 W · 126 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over	46c	130.43$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-5.6wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	18c	113.26$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.84	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under	57c	109.96$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.28	309	57%176 W · 133 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Under	80c	109.58$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.92	20	80%16 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	75cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c27…54f2backed Over	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under	63c	104.9$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.83	77	57.1%44 W · 33 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over	53c	101.04$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.51	233	50.6%118 W · 115 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	76	34.2%26 W · 50 L	-8.4wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d54…d454backed Under	54c	99.8$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.64	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca15…0d5ebacked Over	56c	88.08$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over	14c	82.86$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	86	24.4%21 W · 65 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	46c	80.82$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.16	1,301	51.2%666 W · 635 L	-19.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	45c	79.79$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.96	967	56.8%549 W · 418 L	+73.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	61c	79$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.42	366	46.7%171 W · 195 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Under	50c	75.2$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.6	73	67.1%49 W · 24 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	50c	75.2$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	311	58.5%182 W · 129 L	+27.0wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	50c	74.65$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.57	802	49.8%399 W · 403 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under	55c	74$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.3	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-27%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over	44c	71.43$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.43	81	29.6%24 W · 57 L	-10.9wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x202b…bd32backed Under	56c	71.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.43	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+89.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	38c	69$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.22	526	39.5%208 W · 318 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Over	46c	65.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	109	50.5%55 W · 54 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbeea…0c83backed Under	80c	55$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa5d…9bdcbacked Under	55c	50.91$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.91	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	59c	50.36$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.65	149	57.7%86 W · 63 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c6…f5c0backed Under	62c	48.39$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.39	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	38c	45.46$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.23	307	35.2%108 W · 199 L	-32.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	55c	45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.25	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over	51c	43.14$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	156	38.5%60 W · 96 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	27c	41$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.23	443	50.6%224 W · 219 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under	56c	39.57$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.41	123	56.9%70 W · 53 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over	42c	38$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.96	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf799…6055backed Under	79c	37.65$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.91	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.25per pick	61cpaid	+46%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	73c	36.4$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.83	120	58.3%70 W · 50 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under	55c	33.47$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.93	190	56.3%107 W · 83 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over	45c	32.84$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	116	50.9%59 W · 57 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x474a…a275backed Under	47c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.83	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbb…3ed1backed Over	55c	29.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over	45c	29.72$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.37	65	58.5%38 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over	50c	28.96$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.48	46	73.9%34 W · 12 L	+6.9wins	+0.15per pick	59cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under	64c	28.77$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.43	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under	55c	28$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Under	56c	27.02$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.02	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under	51c	26$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.74	314	46.5%146 W · 168 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87fe…03cebacked Under	56c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3f2…68f9backed Under	66c	22.73$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.73	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.3wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+94.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe30…6d57backed Under	56c	20.73$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.12	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5this page
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 0.5Over won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5Over won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5Under won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5Under won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 5.5Under won
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event