Mls · resolved market
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10d00ecca0eb0d512bec3a3a7f5b7bbd647d7accc9a3bc40c2aaedb1063458ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 33c | 603.48$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.13 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 33c | 589.53$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.54 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 67c | 580.88$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.69 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 67c | 530$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 468.57$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.63 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 386.36$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 306.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…f8c6backed Yes | 76c | 156.6$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 33c | 146.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 67c | 130.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 66c | 121.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 33c | 103.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…c0afbacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 26c | 67.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 32c | 52.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 71c | 48.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 64c | 48.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 27c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…4421backed No | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 67c | 33.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 34c | 29.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed7f…03f3backed Yes | 67c | 26.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 0.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.