TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,821 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over68c21,125$14,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,287.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under43c7,346$3,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,169.234148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under51c4,208$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.042171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under33c4,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7001,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over43c3,986$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.2614652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3d…6039backed Under55c2,719$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.41450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Under37c2,712$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.723528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under33c2,243$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.3872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under33c2,095$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.9170249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c1,744$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.126345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over74c1,681$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.0612667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under41c1,501$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.3399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over64c1,368$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.591241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Under50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under37c1,083$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.0498945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over65c869.25$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.410249%50 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over52c732.29$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.3236247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c710.4$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.633,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under25c676$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.792346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Over57c614.04$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2821816.7%3 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-60.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Over69c580.84$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.082725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-58.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5af8…db25backed Over67c406.74$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.51850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under32c381.25$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.7610628.3%30 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over53c368.91$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.681,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under36c340.97$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.224850%24 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under27c335$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.5552639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2476…7eeebacked Over65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002065%13 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Under41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1771163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under23c293.33$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.231,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11eb…50cbbacked Over50c290.85$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c268.49$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4273438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under77c267.9$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4187154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under33c256$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.5227047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x061e…5ab8backed Under43c233.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fba…fd69backed Under6c215.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.67633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+288.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under32c214.71$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.291,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under56c210.38$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3623350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under30c204$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.324046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1defbacked Under38c199.69$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.811154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under34c196.97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1307147.9%34 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Over69c194.95$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.521546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over37c179.79$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9228721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under32c162.71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4453040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over44c153.45$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2836646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under13c147.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3712839.8%51 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over70c140.85$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.62360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under35c138.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3180249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over68c136$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4833346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over62c125.49$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4596756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.414349%70 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under60c109.87$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4511633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Under60c108.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401625%4 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under37c94.36$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2582044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under33c92.16$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.397757.1%44 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed Under49c90.48$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.361050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Under63c83.88$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.132352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Over68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over58c67.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9616744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Under34c67.34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.441338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Under74c66.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.367367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over46c66.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9131446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over35c65.24$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9735247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over57c63.49$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4744350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under32c62.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.072835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Under56c60.71$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2544447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over67c49.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.493351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over41c46.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under37c46.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.144531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under53c43.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.777659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe91e…9ea8backed Over72c39.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-47.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over57c38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4830444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Under32c37.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2310753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under33c33.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3312146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under33c33.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3310450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Under61c30.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.783461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over52c25.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.543354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a97…90b1backed Over48c24.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Under58c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.242373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd77d…b11dbacked Over56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Under77c19.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.494955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4438…f659backed Over56c19.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.762835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eaf…1f76backed Over67c17.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x824b…da12backed Over67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.05650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.