Mls · resolved market
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba9bf4817ceff4b634cacc9e4e0184163f5ae66f5f56d1342e7e12de269bab1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Over | 68c | 21,125$14,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,287.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 43c | 7,346$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.23 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 51c | 4,208$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.04 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 33c | 4,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 43c | 3,986$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.26 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Under | 55c | 2,719$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Under | 37c | 2,712$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.72 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 33c | 2,243$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.38 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 33c | 2,095$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.91 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 1,744$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.1 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 74c | 1,681$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.06 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 1,501$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.33 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 64c | 1,368$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 37c | 1,083$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.04 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 65c | 869.25$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.4 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 52c | 732.29$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.32 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 710.4$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.63 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 25c | 676$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.7 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Over | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Over | 69c | 580.84$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.08 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed Over | 67c | 406.74$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 32c | 381.25$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.76 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 53c | 368.91$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.68 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 36c | 340.97$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.22 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 27c | 335$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.55 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 23c | 293.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.23 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11eb…50cbbacked Over | 50c | 290.85$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 68c | 268.49$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.42 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 267.9$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 33c | 256$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.52 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…5ab8backed Under | 43c | 233.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…fd69backed Under | 6c | 215.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +288.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 214.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.29 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 56c | 210.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 30c | 204$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.3 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1defbacked Under | 38c | 199.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 34c | 196.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Over | 69c | 194.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 37c | 179.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 32c | 162.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.44 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 44c | 153.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 13c | 147.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.37 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Over | 70c | 140.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 35c | 138.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 68c | 136$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 62c | 125.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 60c | 109.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 60c | 108.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 94.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 33c | 92.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Under | 49c | 90.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 63c | 83.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 58c | 67.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 34c | 67.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 74c | 66.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 46c | 66.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 35c | 65.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 57c | 63.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 32c | 62.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Under | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…3d83backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 37c | 46.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 53c | 43.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe91e…9ea8backed Over | 72c | 39.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 57c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 32c | 37.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 61c | 30.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 52c | 25.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 48c | 24.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Under | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b11dbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 77c | 19.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Over | 56c | 19.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Over | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…da12backed Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5this page
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 0.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.