Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Apóllon Lemesoú win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2669fed58207e4602c5b82f3b2bea41c7340c258c1cbf026638dd1be5864c76d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 71c | 880.16$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.83 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 557.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 407.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.59 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 80c | 399.94$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 25c | 383.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 53c | 370.32$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 350.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 303.17$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.59 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 74c | 235.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 48c | 208.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 52c | 198.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 160.06$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 49c | 117.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 18c | 101.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeea…0c83backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 49c | 86.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 51c | 82.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 19c | 79.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 50c | 56.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 49c | 48.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 41.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 52c | 40.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…f50dbacked Yes | 49c | 30.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 72c | 27.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 57c | 20.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Apóllon Lemesoú win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will SK Dila Gori vs. Apóllon Lemesoú end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Dila Gori win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.