TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,778
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,778 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ec1…057cbacked Over50c75,624$38,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,068.223946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x434c…c096backed Over47c30,000$14,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,099.991315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-57.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c26,670$13,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,602.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,40056646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under50c18,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,00037747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over51c16,341$8,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,320.754539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c15,878$7,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0982,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c14,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,00048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c7,889$3,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,032.844,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c7,848$3,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,92470246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c7,144$3,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,650.714,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb26b…3266backed Over50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Over51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0608651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over50c5,990$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under50c5,600$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under50c4,791$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.4582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under53c4,505$2,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.2119954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under53c3,435$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.242,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over50c2,810$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under50c2,810$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40565750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over50c2,800$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40032150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fb…fe50backed Under50c2,288$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1445154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Under50c2,100$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0507552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under52c2,067$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.373,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over49c2,012$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.7669149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x155d…2525backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0403961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c1,467$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.614,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under49c1,311$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.611,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over51c1,176$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60035749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over51c1,147$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58521247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under48c1,111$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.7243543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over50c1,080$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.1442648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c1,073$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.063,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c1,001$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under58c901.2$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.583,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c831.77$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.413,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under55c660.65$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.3126839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under51c600.6$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.251,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Over55c581.82$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3207862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under49c493$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.4395047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25047134.2%161 W · 310 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under53c458.49$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4947354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Over50c429$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.511755.6%65 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Over55c363$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6562539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under50c327.56$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7828147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3397…f5abbacked Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1624055%22 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under55c259.8$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.913,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over52c247.53$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6620147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over51c233.27$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.743,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over51c200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10149938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9048956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Over50c142.57$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.295858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under53c129$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6354351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6045146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f5…440ebacked Over54c112.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Over55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026044.6%116 W · 144 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Over51c107.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb82…c668backed Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.383638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over50c99.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e1…ec41backed Over51c97.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc448…d166backed Under58c86.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.341070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Over49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.217331.8%55 W · 118 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under53c78.51$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.91,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cee…5a4fbacked Over51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over51c64.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3328856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3028243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under31c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.423047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c59.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.915,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over51c56.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under50c54.85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4376250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa952…14a5backed Over55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.543246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60d…ad79backed Under65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc503…b82cbacked Over53c46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.293354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over50c39.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under50c37.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8517155.6%95 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023644.1%104 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.22,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5043…84b5backed Over55c33.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.491050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ae…b872backed Under46c33.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.091070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+65.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ea7…ba70backed Over55c33.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4962…8d15backed Under46c33.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4148…713bbacked Over50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under50c30.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4545460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Under49c30.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3a2…f3f9backed Over55c29.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcb…492ebacked Under46c29.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.941353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3949…626dbacked Under46c29.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.