Mls · resolved market
Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x579170953557fae84895611c05b44913e83cf5e99e060e02d7f12ae91b88ddec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 76c | 2,467$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.43 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 2,100$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.19 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 66c | 1,847$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.51 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 27c | 1,490$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.25 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a7e7backed Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 37c | 609.8$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.27 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 60c | 607.41$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.66 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 61c | 599.99$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.99 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 58c | 572.81$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 9c | 512.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.8 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 33c | 416.49$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 38c | 307.6$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.82 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.25per pick | 34cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 7c | 148.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.64 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Over | 63c | 147.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 60c | 147.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 60c | 130.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 26c | 113.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 40c | 112.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Under | 52c | 87.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…c0afbacked Under | 21c | 77.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 66c | 72.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 30c | 56.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 77c | 50.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 28c | 39.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 53c | 37.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 40c | 32.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeea…0c83backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 40c | 27.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Under | 78c | 23.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed Under | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 0.5this page
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Minnesota United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Minnesota United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Minnesota United FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Minnesota United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.