Mls · resolved market
Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d7b37ff6679313298858a31dfdd28554b6f2fac9dbf63f0ded8aef91affb93e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 15,906$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,726.31 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 30c | 4,122$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.29 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed Yes | 64c | 3,233$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 1,543$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.15 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 1,367$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.53 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 63c | 531$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.53 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 62c | 503.05$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.16 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed No | 66c | 438.09$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 216.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.04 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 36c | 215$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 58c | 196.5$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 64c | 187.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 65c | 187.53$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 17c | 181.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 37c | 168.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 36c | 149.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 67c | 144.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 41c | 140.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.61 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 35c | 138.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 22c | 124$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed No | 66c | 105.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 38c | 104.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 62c | 104$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…c0afbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked No | 40c | 47.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 57c | 33.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 43c | 33.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 63c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…76c9backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Minnesota United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Minnesota United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Minnesota United FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Minnesota United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.