Mls · resolved market

Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc213e846be6fc5afe7e6fb7f362072d0229070c7748bf36640390f673df97503

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $83,961
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $83,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,961 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over	48c	7,839$3,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,740	993	40.1%398 W · 595 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under	15c	7,833$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,633.33	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	49c	6,756$3,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,339.02	989	45.4%449 W · 540 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	15c	3,500$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,975	263	45.2%119 W · 144 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under	15c	3,290$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,796.36	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	50c	2,058$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.28	1,880	36.6%688 W · 1,192 L	-7.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	15c	2,000$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,700	1,270	48%610 W · 660 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over	45c	1,963$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.34	382	46.1%176 W · 206 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	31c	1,788$553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,235.64	1,444	36.8%532 W · 912 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	15c	1,333$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,133.05	139	48.9%68 W · 71 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	48c	1,111$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.95	116	33.6%39 W · 77 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Under	15c	1,000$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under	43c	1,000$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570	22	50%11 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe24f…0c5abacked Over	54c	999.99$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.99	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-4.8wins	-0.37per pick	52cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Over	46c	991.3$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	46c	990.09$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.93	714	43.7%312 W · 402 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under	15c	907.04$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770.98	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	47c	842$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.25	526	39.5%208 W · 318 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	44c	745$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.45	102	49%50 W · 52 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Under	15c	666.66$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.66	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	53c	643.88$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.02	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	56c	485.41$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.41	1,262	45.2%571 W · 691 L	-28.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under	20c	405.1$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.31	201	33.3%67 W · 134 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under	18c	350$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over	54c	345.59$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.62	126	50.8%64 W · 62 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	80c	343$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.4	915	53%485 W · 430 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under	17c	216.14$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.4	106	28.3%30 W · 76 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under	16c	211.33$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.22	529	23.8%126 W · 403 L	-25.8wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+4.3wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under	17c	199.99$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.99	106	12.3%13 W · 93 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Over	54c	168.95$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.23	77	57.1%44 W · 33 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over	46c	153$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.38	134	64.9%87 W · 47 L	+17.1wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under	15c	144$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.4	143	59.4%85 W · 58 L	+8.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	10c	143.1$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.31	228	41.7%95 W · 133 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over	72c	138.89$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	49c	126.77$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.01	530	40.6%215 W · 315 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	45c	126$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.93	366	46.7%171 W · 195 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over	80c	100$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Under	19c	100$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-4.3wins	-0.33per pick	48cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under	16c	100$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	47c	99.66$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.35	352	47.7%168 W · 184 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	46c	91.69$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.91	444	47.3%210 W · 234 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	47c	76$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.58	314	46.5%146 W · 168 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	46c	59$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.14	128	39.8%51 W · 77 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over	78c	52$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.56	20	80%16 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	75cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	76	34.2%26 W · 50 L	-8.4wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	33.3%17 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over	54c	49.97$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.98	123	56.9%70 W · 53 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over	46c	48$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.84	202	52%105 W · 97 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over	53c	47.16$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	103	38.8%40 W · 63 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Under	25c	40$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under	79c	37.2$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.81	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	76cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4db…e401backed Under	30c	33.37$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.36	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+5.5wins	+0.26per pick	50cpaid	+63.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf799…6055backed Under	47c	31.91$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.91	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.25per pick	61cpaid	+46%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over	47c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	145	49.7%72 W · 73 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	48c	28$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.37	820	44.5%365 W · 455 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbee0…7dffbacked Over	47c	27.66$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Under	59c	25.52$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.52	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.36	307	35.2%108 W · 199 L	-32.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over	80c	16.6$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.28	100	42%42 W · 58 L	-8.9wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabaf…8651backed Over	80c	14$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc278…3144backed Under	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5this page
Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Minnesota United FC O/U 1.5Under won
Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Minnesota United FC O/U 2.5Under won
Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 0.5Under won
Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Minnesota United FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Minnesota United FC won
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Minnesota United FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event