Mls · resolved market
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x236bca9a604a2c022e763f470fcb8846a10192ced0b5d9febce515d6feb3bc03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota United FCof Vancouver Whitecaps FC, Minnesota United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Minnesota United FC | 74c | 3,300$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26c | 2,754$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.16 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26c | 2,366$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.16 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 12c | 1,765$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.71 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota United FC | 74c | 1,022$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.92 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26c | 690.84$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.62 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 12c | 249.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Minnesota United FC | 74c | 127.7$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 27c | 84.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Minnesota United FC | 73c | 84.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Minnesota United FC | 78c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 25c | 48.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Minnesota United FC | 75c | 31.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Minnesota United FC | 74c | 18.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Minnesota United FC | 75c | 17.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)this page
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Minnesota United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Minnesota United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Minnesota United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.