TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,673
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,673 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c12,749$6,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,332.038,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over47c10,709$5,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,674.5731349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under38c5,900$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,241.5721752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under47c5,042$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.4934747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over71c4,235$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.163234.4%11 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over53c4,003$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.232,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over73c3,098$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.1582434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c2,616$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.065,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under2c2,083$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9401,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c1,906$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.321,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5a…2e90backed Under47c1,847$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.271010%1 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.37per pick47cpaid-83.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over60c1,495$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.3175240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under19c1,367$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.5412156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under50c1,291$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.0555250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under5c1,097$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.716431.3%20 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under47c1,042$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.1438233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c09…b9b3backed Under3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Over57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over45c779.89$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.5926835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over65c768.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.125660.7%34 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over61c636.8$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.2213373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Under36c577.78$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under46c566.67$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.81850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under6c555.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.339027.8%25 W · 65 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over54c554.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.646735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under42c543.26$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.2164633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0bd…3338backed Over54c524.07$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under57c523$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.112352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Under59c500$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under53c452.3$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.6995155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over10c447.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.9810618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over79c445.67$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6651750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over53c433.66$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.1955946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under60c419.28$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.761258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under3c400.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.397022.9%16 W · 54 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+288.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c366.73$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.641,44237.6%542 W · 900 L+4.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under40c355.29$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1221044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over45c276.52$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7816160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under10c271.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.911,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under52c270$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.45547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under54c240.51$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7563261.2%387 W · 245 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under51c237.12$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.933342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under38c229.08$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8713149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under53c229$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7972258.6%423 W · 299 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ae4…011ebacked Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under45c216.46$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8869453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe24f…0c5abacked Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under36c196.69$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4657540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under7c192.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7189846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0b…9c4ebacked Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over75c192$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4844843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over37c190.22$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0223044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over56c189.15$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8146449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.195248.1%25 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over54c160.21$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.12,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under31c157.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1518426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over66c147.14$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0377151.4%396 W · 375 L-3.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under34c142.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3319255.2%106 W · 86 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under44c128.68$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0331136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac6…f11dbacked Under47c127.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.611030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over53c123.91$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.243759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under27c120.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1189645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under11c117$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1585220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over54c107.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.689551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc70e…8c73backed Under54c107.34$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0096…0d85backed Under37c103.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over33c103.55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1745946.8%215 W · 244 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccb9…4718backed Over66c99.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.994751.1%24 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…1c6dbacked Under53c98.72$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa544…0c80backed Over48c95.83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.831376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.30per pick47cpaid+72.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe1fe…d67abacked Under53c95.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under35c94.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over32c93.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1121638.4%83 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9113167.9%89 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c97…f237backed Over54c89.7$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.26933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid+67.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under56c89.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0110766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over57c88.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.16850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…9015backed Over24c84.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Over32c78.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1211428.1%32 W · 82 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed Over64c77.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.547467.6%50 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under51c76.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0535240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over64c72.25$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.211,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1230…0ce6backed Over57c65.14$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed Over39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.15046%23 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under46c58.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279852%51 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.562334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under59c52.46$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9526465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.023351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under31c49.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0511861.9%73 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.