South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5898bfd9e76029d40ad870288db3f0e1c96cce0c9f6d0383feddf3e0c5a4b96e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Querétaro FCof CF Pachuca, Querétaro FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CF Pachuca | 38c | 30,923$11,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,809.47 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Querétaro FC | 71c | 20,253$14,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,914.5 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Querétaro FC | 53c | 6,724$3,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,129.27 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed CF Pachuca | 5c | 5,190$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.78 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked CF Pachuca | 33c | 4,437$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.02 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Querétaro FC | 48c | 3,707$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.63 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed CF Pachuca | 33c | 2,370$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.1 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Querétaro FC | 68c | 2,200$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Querétaro FC | 67c | 1,283$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.29 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Querétaro FC | 67c | 1,037$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.48 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Querétaro FC | 67c | 784$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.78 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Querétaro FC | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Querétaro FC | 57c | 630.34$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.47 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Querétaro FC | 73c | 607.32$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.72 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Querétaro FC | 69c | 570.12$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.65 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked CF Pachuca | 38c | 539.47$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Querétaro FC | 47c | 318.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Querétaro FC | 47c | 300.9$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.48 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed CF Pachuca | 32c | 290.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed CF Pachuca | 33c | 283.45$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Querétaro FC | 66c | 240$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Querétaro FC | 69c | 228.34$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed CF Pachuca | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Querétaro FC | 67c | 187.22$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Querétaro FC | 67c | 184.63$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Querétaro FC | 56c | 175.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.66 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed CF Pachuca | 31c | 134.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked CF Pachuca | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Querétaro FC | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed CF Pachuca | 38c | 93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f6…0798backed CF Pachuca | 37c | 83.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Querétaro FC | 63c | 82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Querétaro FC | 66c | 80.61$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CF Pachuca | 27c | 80.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked CF Pachuca | 31c | 75.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Querétaro FC | 63c | 61.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CF Pachuca | 31c | 59.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Querétaro FC | 78c | 50.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Querétaro FC | 60c | 49.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Querétaro FC | 68c | 46.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Querétaro FC | 66c | 36.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…cc35backed Querétaro FC | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked CF Pachuca | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Querétaro FC | 65c | 25.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Querétaro FC | 65c | 23.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…406bbacked Querétaro FC | 67c | 21.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Querétaro FC | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Querétaro FC | 68c | 18.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Querétaro FC | 67c | 16.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)this page
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: CF Pachuca O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: CF Pachuca O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: CF Pachuca O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)Querétaro FC won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.