South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc624b902c7ffaedea85ab8f12ab4e3cd60cccee16459ed44b1a23923fd365ef2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f2a…79f3backed No | 40c | 2,330$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 1,746$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.27 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 61c | 1,199$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.89 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,090$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.83 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Yes | 55c | 905.05$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 49c | 593.05$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.93 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 54c | 487.63$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.37 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 389.82$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.42 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 48c | 261.44$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbebc…b5e6backed No | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.11 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 52c | 137.29$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 113.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 66c | 107.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 45c | 106.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 101.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…4a6cbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 42c | 49.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed No | 43c | 46.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…678dbacked Yes | 61c | 36.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 75c | 35.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 62c | 31.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 35c | 30.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…fe41backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 52c | 22.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 50c | 22.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed No | 48c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…150cbacked No | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: CF Pachuca O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: CF Pachuca O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: CF Pachuca O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Querétaro FC won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)Querétaro FC won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.