South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd8f75df8e8dce30f66a8bbe6f1f284dad605d39d8745ea0a7522753f61f248e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 74c | 33,840$25,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,671 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 20,842$5,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,507.75 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 62c | 7,040$4,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.98 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 43c | 6,952$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.76 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 4,883$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.54 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 28c | 4,056$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.68 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 44c | 3,575$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.67 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 21c | 3,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.1 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 69c | 2,684$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.09 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 2c | 2,132$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 13c | 2,113$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.67 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 29c | 1,776$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.35 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 1,083$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.88 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 46c | 1,047$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.92 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.12 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 55c | 899.99$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 50c | 800$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 7c | 787.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 57c | 687.48$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 28c | 609.25$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.59 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 16c | 542.42$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 5c | 410$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 20c | 382.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 13c | 335.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 18c | 308.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…3fa1backed Under | 65c | 292.15$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 58c | 274.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.42 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 20c | 236.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 31c | 233.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 45c | 215.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 56c | 200.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Over | 41c | 193.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.22 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 25c | 186.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 169.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 27c | 157.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 76c | 155$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 74c | 135.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 33c | 134.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 53c | 117$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 38c | 116$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 59c | 114.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Under | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 25c | 73.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 70c | 72.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 72.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cb…d396backed Over | 42c | 70.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Over | 42c | 70.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 19c | 65.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 43c | 65.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 48c | 56.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 53c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Under | 59c | 50.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Under | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 24c | 50.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Under | 66c | 47.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 56c | 44.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 53c | 43.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 70c | 42.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…9fd7backed Under | 80c | 42.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 51c | 38.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Over | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…517cbacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 52c | 27.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 61c | 27.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…fbf2backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5this page
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: CF Pachuca O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: CF Pachuca O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: CF Pachuca O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Querétaro FC won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)Querétaro FC won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.