South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09e6360d8aacb0e33a20bf49875dc508e4e4d87977a739851ee668cc6a7e6b26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 6c | 10,546$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.94 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 11c | 6,405$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.62 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 8c | 2,940$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 2c | 999.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 21c | 626$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.46 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…f11dbacked Under | 9c | 527.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 13c | 429$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 10c | 424.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 21c | 365.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 12c | 352.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Under | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 8c | 277.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 77c | 276.2$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 12c | 236.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2390…a15fbacked Over | 79c | 192.41$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 79c | 165$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +12.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 7c | 145.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 79c | 128$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 27c | 114.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 78c | 90.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Under | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 75c | 26.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9583…fa5dbacked Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Over | 76c | 13.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5this page
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: CF Pachuca O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: CF Pachuca O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: CF Pachuca O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Querétaro FC won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)Querétaro FC won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.