South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c2926bbb81e8332f26c8fd911c5c785da7312934c8548479158fc1992013173
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 40c | 11,843$4,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,058.24 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 8,808$4,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,744.71 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 60c | 4,992$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.28 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 2,690$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.68 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 63c | 2,182$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.29 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 47c | 1,785$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.65 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 37c | 1,771$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Over | 70c | 1,608$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.41 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 64c | 1,561$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.18 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 63c | 843.53$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.59 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 46c | 583.53$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.22 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 60c | 538.66$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.68 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 49c | 526.57$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.12 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 37c | 355.19$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.42 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 64c | 351.56$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 60c | 303.13$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.25 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 46c | 289$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 62c | 240.16$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.48 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 64c | 235$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +12.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 64c | 218.62$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 38c | 210.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…830fbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 53c | 161.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 63c | 125$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 37c | 119.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 48c | 109.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…0ce6backed Over | 66c | 92.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 37c | 80.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 37c | 74.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 41c | 71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 39c | 69.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 63c | 62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 64c | 55.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a1…8b76backed Over | 64c | 45.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 63c | 44.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 41.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 52c | 40.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 62c | 38.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 64c | 35.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…f83ebacked Under | 43c | 31.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked Over | 64c | 31.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 60c | 30.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf1…227abacked Over | 64c | 30.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…7386backed Over | 64c | 30.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…30f1backed Over | 58c | 28.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fed…e9cabacked Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…a6b4backed Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…9175backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: CF Pachuca O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: CF Pachuca O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: CF Pachuca O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Querétaro FC won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)Querétaro FC won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.