TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,265

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c18,190$11,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,238.598,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over27c12,337$3,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,307.135,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over47c12,016$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70014727.2%40 W · 107 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under67c8,284$5,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,773.6530048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over39c6,898$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,670.441,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Under47c5,795$2,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,071.194858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over35c4,003$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.5175240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over30c3,283$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under5c2,336$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.8411025.5%28 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over42c2,323$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.8572350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under55c2,079$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.483458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06017049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c1,933$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.321,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c1,823$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.261,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over47c1,661$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.061822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Under7c1,584$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.086230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under69c1,577$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.762,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under79c1,362$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.959920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over42c1,240$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.631,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c1,222$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.641,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over32c1,114$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.719447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1110618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under5c1,111$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.715248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Under75c1,036$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.0510446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c1,013$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.771,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3707248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,000$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9906624.2%16 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick15cpaid+312.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53020046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over29c881.27$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.1446449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under66c834.88$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.0995155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c780.8$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.082,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb89…82aabacked Under74c691.45$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.651040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over43c627.66$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.4651750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over46c603.79$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.1126835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Under55c555.31$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.6217051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under5c499.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.996232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Under79c481.69$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.156339.7%25 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under4c456.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.110635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over38c398.55$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2829047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Under5c328.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.435230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over42c290.76$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.128247.6%39 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405660.7%34 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under73c262.88$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6721938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over29c259.87$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3664633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over56c255.05$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.531,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x101c…0e79backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over45c243.58$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under48c234.76$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.639551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over35c228.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9921538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under71c228.15$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1755250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.333658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over11c203.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3829037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2713…43b2backed Under48c202.08$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.081330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb3…5fe5backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under55c181.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.813644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over44c178.57$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5717440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5713167.9%89 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c175.34$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.851,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over48c165.49$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6589846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Over53c165.06$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4811457%65 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Over35c163.24$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6715552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over42c159.71$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0812545.6%57 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Over53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.59447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over42c148.57$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.429245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under47c148$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4418247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over44c147$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.686744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Over18c141$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.851338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under68c123.06$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9263061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf916…2763backed Over26c115.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.422630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over34c108.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7218446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfec…4c6cbacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+973.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under54c98.15$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.157549.3%37 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under67c95.21$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4772058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Over53c91.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.494934.7%17 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under57c86.82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3310766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20aa…b3dcbacked Under47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac6…f11dbacked Under57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.41030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over47c76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7489645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under68c75.03$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3719437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over56c71.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405834.5%20 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under49c70.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3631136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over33c69.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Over51c66.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8225345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked Over25c56.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142528%7 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under69c55.36$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1533365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x935e…9132backed Under48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over56c50.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.116864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7420055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under47c49.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4910352.4%54 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under48c47.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.929852%51 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Over44c47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.684037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under47c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3278756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under78c43.45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc11d…0123backed Under48c42.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.131478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick54cpaid+51%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over43c40.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4919053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178821.6%19 W · 69 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Over52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.840%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.