South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae11c229d246967134643c47c15cca86eb85a668c9bde200f95bc7ef8f8a5288
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 2,036$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 49c | 1,761$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.11 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 1,236$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.17 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 51c | 943.56$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.22 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 25c | 824.47$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.49 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 48c | 604.17$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.17 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 524.99$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.49 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 453.94$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.82 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4962…f509backed No | 42c | 398.94$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…79f3backed No | 62c | 324.84$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 20c | 299.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 29c | 273.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 37c | 255.69$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.18 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 35c | 231.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 64c | 230.01$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.04 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 29c | 220.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.62 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 52c | 174.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 51c | 167.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 36c | 134.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked No | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 51c | 70.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 52c | 51.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 76c | 51.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 67c | 41.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 76c | 36.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 26.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: CR Flamengo 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: CR Flamengo O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: CR Flamengo O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: CR Flamengo O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.