South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cc0eb4d66530bd69c826112f2a097463ee607842da9f74826d2f21de78a1dab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- São Paulo FCof CR Flamengo, São Paulo FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed São Paulo FC | 61c | 24,404$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,403.85 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed São Paulo FC | 70c | 13,758$9,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152.29 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CR Flamengo | 29c | 9,521$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.98 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…8343backed CR Flamengo | 38c | 4,685$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed CR Flamengo | 39c | 3,920$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.2 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed CR Flamengo | 40c | 2,652$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.88 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed CR Flamengo | 40c | 2,524$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed CR Flamengo | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked CR Flamengo | 39c | 2,210$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.11 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked CR Flamengo | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked CR Flamengo | 39c | 1,900$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked CR Flamengo | 39c | 1,769$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.08 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CR Flamengo | 2c | 1,332$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CR Flamengo | 38c | 1,315$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.7 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed CR Flamengo | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked CR Flamengo | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed CR Flamengo | 41c | 910.51$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.31 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed São Paulo FC | 80c | 812.15$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.17 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed CR Flamengo | 9c | 751.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed CR Flamengo | 38c | 588$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.44 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed São Paulo FC | 60c | 489.89$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed São Paulo FC | 79c | 348.24$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed São Paulo FC | 69c | 331.51$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.37 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed CR Flamengo | 41c | 314.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed CR Flamengo | 41c | 213.07$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed São Paulo FC | 59c | 185.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked São Paulo FC | 61c | 184$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed CR Flamengo | 40c | 179.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed São Paulo FC | 78c | 136.36$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed CR Flamengo | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed São Paulo FC | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed São Paulo FC | 69c | 132.48$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed São Paulo FC | 73c | 130.34$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed São Paulo FC | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed São Paulo FC | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed CR Flamengo | 41c | 103.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…2763backed CR Flamengo | 23c | 101.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked CR Flamengo | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…7b1abacked CR Flamengo | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…ab16backed São Paulo FC | 79c | 99.32$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed CR Flamengo | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed São Paulo FC | 59c | 97.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked São Paulo FC | 60c | 96.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed CR Flamengo | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed CR Flamengo | 40c | 75.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed CR Flamengo | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…e902backed CR Flamengo | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked CR Flamengo | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed CR Flamengo | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed São Paulo FC | 60c | 37.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed São Paulo FC | 60c | 37.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed CR Flamengo | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed CR Flamengo | 38c | 31.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked São Paulo FC | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed São Paulo FC | 61c | 26.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed São Paulo FC | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed São Paulo FC | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)this page
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: CR Flamengo 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: CR Flamengo O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: CR Flamengo O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: CR Flamengo O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.