South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a5997480f3e2ea4819aea0808fcdc5bc88fb1ccd6b4f9ca0b45583427276707
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 8,154$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.68 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Over | 41c | 3,567$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.9 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 77c | 3,440$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.2 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 2,011$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.8 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 58c | 1,662$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.88 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 23c | 1,480$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.47 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 77c | 1,399$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.68 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 23c | 1,388$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.31 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 39c | 1,370$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.92 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Over | 77c | 1,001$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.3 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 27c | 728.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 26c | 728.26$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…191cbacked Over | 43c | 651.16$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 510.7$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.1 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 50c | 399.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 73c | 378$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Over | 51c | 342.27$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.08 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 48c | 334.02$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.56 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked Over | 76c | 277.75$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 80c | 250.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 40c | 203.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0846…b540backed Over | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 77c | 189.18$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 23c | 153.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 44c | 122.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 77c | 117.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce58…6321backed Under | 36c | 109.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfec…4c6cbacked Under | 28c | 108$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +973.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 70c | 108$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 77c | 102.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 24c | 102.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…5fe5backed Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Over | 76c | 98.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 72c | 98.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 75c | 93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 44c | 90.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 60c | 83.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 71c | 67.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 60c | 66.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 60c | 66.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Over | 55c | 48.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Under | 58c | 38.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 50c | 36.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 55c | 31.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 72c | 31.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 48c | 23.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…f9b0backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 59c | 18.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Over | 72c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5this page
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: CR Flamengo 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: CR Flamengo O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: CR Flamengo O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: CR Flamengo O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.