South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe73d8c32480797fb2b6417cda1db58f2889a1587c2a292ff29ced455165a9815
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 8c | 26,428$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 7c | 1,752$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Over | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 7c | 1,137$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 7c | 1,017$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 72c | 790.48$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.38 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Under | 7c | 752.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…a8bbbacked Under | 6c | 723.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 74 | 10.8%8 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 12c | 548.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 5c | 251.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Over | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 28c | 172.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce58…6321backed Under | 14c | 168.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 7c | 163$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed Over | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 12c | 87.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 73c | 77.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea7…bdccbacked Under | 23c | 64.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Over | 79c | 46.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 79c | 39.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…eae1backed Over | 73c | 39.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 73c | 30.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…1e03backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 0.5this page
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: CR Flamengo 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: CR Flamengo O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: CR Flamengo O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: CR Flamengo O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.