TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-01-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,940

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,033 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No27c33,386$8,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,917.063,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Yes42c28,069$11,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,140.22955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No57c11,335$6,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,488.8184850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes46c8,731$4,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,716.9843344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed No54c7,222$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c6,768$3,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,662.9791950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No56c6,000$3,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,389.971450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No10c5,539$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.032,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No20c4,376$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.5852243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No15c3,483$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.7176941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes78c2,560$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.241030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-60.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No53c2,546$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.1510960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes43c2,085$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.6219934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No56c2,000$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13027939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0601338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed No59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e1…8b17backed Yes60c1,237$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No55c1,127$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6203452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No29c1,073$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.463237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes45c999.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55012336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No54c971.28$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.3942844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No56c914$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.8420050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No63c584$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.927040%28 W · 42 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7104…8cffbacked No2c546.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.251752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.324647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes46c515$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.118049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3106650%33 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes47c429.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.554228.6%12 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No17c396$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0811643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84e5…6d71backed Yes47c389$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No43c382.01$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6727644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed Yes42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes45c337.5$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.733349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes59c262$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.49944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21bc…62d0backed Yes38c252.5$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed No54c251.53$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.845242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No56c249.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.998847.7%42 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes42c240.48$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.482814.3%4 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-64.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No11c226.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.095026%13 W · 37 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-51%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes44c225$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262850%14 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+62.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e9d…527bbacked Yes80c218.85$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.85785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+48.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No56c216.33$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1433847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes46c216.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.21977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.38per pick39cpaid+72.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.777135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75e8…eb8cbacked Yes46c200.02$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed No59c200$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1172755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe127…fe33backed Yes62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes44c184.11$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.144952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No56c165.48$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6774155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No57c150.41$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.745853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes55c139.24$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6615376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x59a0…a626backed Yes61c134.43$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed No54c132$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.282250%11 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes46c119.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.577354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes46c117.24$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6411843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6113920.1%28 W · 111 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2426647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.022615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed No56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes56c89.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2537750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeea…0c83backed Yes42c88.1$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No54c78.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.264748.9%23 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked No59c76.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Yes46c76.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.091553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Yes46c66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.641172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No52c65.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.910537.1%39 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef34…6779backed Yes46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+65.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Yes47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.191723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No36c50.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.532934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.55942.4%25 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2863857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306521.5%14 W · 51 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No53c48.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.77051.4%36 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca3b…3534backed Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d43…fc99backed No57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252878.6%22 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick73cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes44c43.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3933055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes44c43.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1912849.2%63 W · 65 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb0…f162backed Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551794.1%16 W · 1 L+6.5wins+0.38per pick56cpaid+75.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0101…f054backed Yes43c34.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+82.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked Yes46c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.361681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4089…67f9backed Yes40c33.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e1a…60e5backed Yes46c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.82966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183d…5814backed Yes40c32.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes39c32.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2010360.2%62 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb35…dd01backed No61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Yes46c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.281560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Yes48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.253946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed No63c31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.532552%13 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes46c30.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.269056.7%51 W · 39 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.536136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed Yes46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.24141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed No63c27.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.273461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…722fbacked Yes46c26.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c1a…20c3backed Yes46c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.041020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-57%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0194…9c6abacked Yes43c24.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd240…f116backed No59c23.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.