MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93e5c59108df74c4a893553d71b9d74f26fcce17c4e83afb1b825cdd842638c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $928,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $971,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $928,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 291,965$139,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152,932.68 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 83,461$40,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,022.7 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 59,792$32,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,287.68 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 40,803$18,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,793.48 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 38,325$18,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,455.79 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 35,471$9,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,110.13 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 30,450$16,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,138.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 23,478$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,678.26 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 21,363$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.94 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 20,909$13,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,591.54 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.98 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 18,500$9,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,989.97 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 18,245$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.56 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 17,410$9,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,141.84 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.96 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 13,794$6,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,407.03 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 13,724$6,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,387.54 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 11,008$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,007.92 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 10,775$4,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,818.25 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 10,558$6,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,407.48 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 8,700$5,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 20c | 8,682$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.7 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 8,070$4,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,357.8 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 7,525$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.5 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 7,086$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720.3 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 6,992$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.78 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 5,726$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.62 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 5,529$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.51 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.78 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 17c | 5,191$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…4f39backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 4,461$3,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 4,404$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.8 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…a5dcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 4c | 4,214$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 4,005$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.89 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 3,874$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.12 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 3,533$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 3,175$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.5 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…d9f4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 2,940$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 2,601$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.56 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 2,365$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 2,251$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.31 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46f…243bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 2,221$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 7c | 2,157$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Toronto Blue Jays | 3c | 1,924$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,726$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.54 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 1,648$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.23 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 1,601$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.24 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 1,579$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.3 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 1,570$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,555$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.7 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fd…ca86backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 1,419$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.01 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 1,322$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.39 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 1,301$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.35 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 1,193$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.6 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…a73abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 1,138$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.97 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 1,129$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.69 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.98 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 1,028$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.89 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 2c | 999.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 999.65$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.82 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 936$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.08 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 852.67$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.44 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 7c | 820.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…6055backed Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 815.03$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa0…b86ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 813.17$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 789.77$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.21 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 789.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 780.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 689.08$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.95 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 686.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 640.63$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 640$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.6 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 636.64$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.23 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…39abbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 619.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b6…9d5ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 613$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 542.67$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.47 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 12.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 13.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.