TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,518 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x09b5…7e72backed Under55c21,532$11,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,842.611849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over45c20,078$9,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,042.8355053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6201,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Over45c2,836$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.5811347.8%54 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Over46c2,415$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.2213655.1%75 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under54c2,067$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.2328350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over46c2,044$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.792,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed Under54c1,515$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.0917446%80 W · 94 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over46c1,005$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.773748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53059150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over46c874.76$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.3754152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43216644.6%74 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under54c660.02$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.413,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c602.21$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.216,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Over46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4824350.6%123 W · 120 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over46c511.72$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.331,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c506.8$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under55c448$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.468053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c394.57$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.075,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c388.09$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.138,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c373.31$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.582,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under54c278.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Under54c274.5$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1219752.3%103 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Over46c245.2$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4118551.4%95 W · 90 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe36b…095dbacked Under56c233.82$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over46c222.5$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1529446.6%137 W · 157 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bfa…8b61backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018356.8%104 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed Over47c188.68$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under54c186.41$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.661,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over48c182.19$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.612,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5753448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over57c173.4$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.561,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over46c153.39$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8345246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eae…8c33backed Over46c147.31$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.552245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over46c144.67$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1282741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over46c142.22$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.642,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over57c120$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under38c111.01$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.425,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Under56c106.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7647545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d09…7dfbbacked Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9533032.7%108 W · 222 L-22.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8deb…1ef3backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over44c95$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.21,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over50c88.87$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2782551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over46c85.43$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1327146.9%127 W · 144 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over46c82.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.641,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under55c80.09$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0525249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Under55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023051.7%119 W · 111 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over67c70.21$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.28,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over49c68.57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.971,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over49c68.57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.971,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eea…f37cbacked Over46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2224150.2%121 W · 120 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Under53c60.53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0884140.2%338 W · 503 L-3.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over46c60.46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6518353.6%98 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ff…ec82backed Under55c59.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9921554.9%118 W · 97 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over46c55.96$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2252449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d5…e65abacked Under26c54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.13911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.36per pick47cpaid-81.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Under55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.555953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c7…bc23backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.510536.2%38 W · 67 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under33c47.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.592,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53db…480ebacked Over46c44.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.033844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over46c43.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6237747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5569…c927backed Under55c42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.112858.6%75 W · 53 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under53c39.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.951,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Over52c38.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7311553%61 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef6…9b93backed Over46c38.15$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.66741.8%28 W · 39 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Over59c37.08$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3224654.9%135 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under46c37.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.041,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.046,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011855.9%66 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under53c30.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.114344.8%64 W · 79 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07c0…5dd2backed Under53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.918458.2%107 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over46c28.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3429450.7%149 W · 145 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Under55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513641.9%57 W · 79 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over57c26.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.191,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5c…fb95backed Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over46c23.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.923,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.