MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39a533354cce5b34e7e371785e9909a60e724492b52e894be0c49e062c4a1ffd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Tampa Bay Rays, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $333,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $333,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 102,000$46,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,920 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 45,000$24,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,699.95 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 30,665$17,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,571.97 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 21,735$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 20,265$11,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,119.28 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 16,256$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.16 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 69c | 13,069$8,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,088.08 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 12,325$4,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,646.73 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 22c | 11,244$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 11,027$6,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,962.33 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 8,044$4,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.35 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Tampa Bay Rays | 20c | 6,844$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.84 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 5,687$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.47 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 4,655$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.5 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 4,414$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.7 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 4,068$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.1 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Boston Red Sox | 68c | 4,054$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.12 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 3,905$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.12 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 3,712$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 3,529$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.8 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 3,464$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.22 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 3,389$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.25 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 3,032$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.57 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,886$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.48 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox | 67c | 2,849$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.83 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,776$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.79 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 20c | 2,708$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 2,218$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.18 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,044$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.07 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,000$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.56 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 1,941$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.1 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…a956backed Tampa Bay Rays | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…b501backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,812$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.33 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,682$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.72 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,673$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,628$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.18 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,400$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 1,266$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.07 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 27c | 1,239$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.99 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 1,155$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 1,049$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.7 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,043$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.3 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 1,025$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.27 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,003$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.34 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…3ceabacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 987.27$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.27 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 972.22$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.22 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 971.55$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.49 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 961.67$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.67 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 911$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.16 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Boston Red Sox | 70c | 864.59$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.37 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 858$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.1 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 828.75$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 20c | 802.65$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.36 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 17c | 799.51$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 787.92$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.82 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 778$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.1 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 762.75$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.24 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf471…f483backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 740.12$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 736.82$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 684.78$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 28c | 650.15$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 632.61$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x052d…fcc1backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 594.31$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.38 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 11c | 560$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7599…4293backed Tampa Bay Rays | 16c | 555.55$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 553$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.85 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 550$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 550$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 549.99$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…20e8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 549.01$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.3 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…bfaabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 5c | 514.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 491.11$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.49 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 14c | 483.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 460.18$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.6 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 457.82$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.28 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 452.41$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.11 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 407.2$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.95 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…36b4backed Boston Red Sox | 79c | 406$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…18e2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 5c | 399.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 15c | 398.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…d406backed Tampa Bay Rays | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 363.69$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.04 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 345.29$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.93 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.