MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf70ae0a076541942f1e652933f5d2446aeb00835f7a5e1267841dc6e27a6e7c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 30,287$13,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,960.85 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 22,222$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,222.22 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 18,333$8,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,686.8 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 16,667$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,166.67 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 13,333$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,333.33 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 12,321$6,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,602.62 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 7,643$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.55 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 4,240$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.74 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 3,422$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.52 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.98 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 16c | 2,514$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.32 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 2,057$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.64 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.98 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,902$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.89 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 1,888$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.83 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,836$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.16 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 1,683$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.55 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 1,596$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.7 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…c669backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,475$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.03 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe25…ce67backed Cleveland Guardians | 3c | 1,167$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 1,113$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.65 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 1,050$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.76 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 1,035$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.9 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 986.13$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 979.11$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.88 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 942.8$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.54 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 904.55$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 234 | 57.7%135 W · 99 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2de…e4bdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 2c | 878.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 845.54$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.63 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 826.43$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.94 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 812.87$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.01 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cleveland Guardians | 9c | 802.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 72c | 791$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.94 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 769.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 750$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 748.87$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.47 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 615.1$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.86 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 605.68$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.41 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 555$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.25 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 544.74$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.68 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 477.23$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 9c | 458.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 454.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.79 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 440$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec99…f5eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 438$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 426.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 421.33$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 413.98$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.69 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…59acbacked Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 394$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 378$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 348.21$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 344.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.67 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 11c | 335.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 301.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38b…9917backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 284.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 481 | 45.3%218 W · 263 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 258.31$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.07 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 240$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 234.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 232$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 232$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 220$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Cleveland Guardians | 9c | 210.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 209.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 208.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 208.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 206.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 201.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 201$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 218 | 22.9%50 W · 168 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 195.21$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 194.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 193.59$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 620 | 49.2%305 W · 315 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 191$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 191 | 57.6%110 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…da50backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 188$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Cleveland Guardians | 16c | 183.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 778 | 52.2%406 W · 372 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb137…8039backed Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 180.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 53.9%207 W · 177 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.