TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$211,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,281 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes56c39,574$22,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,283.9598945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes65c38,880$25,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,736.83540%14 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No45c25,512$11,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,549.341,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No36c12,500$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.9910945%49 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c11,650$5,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,280.353,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No35c11,475$4,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,009.931,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes64c9,171$5,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,287.933346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No46c8,042$3,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,726.6799340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes66c6,970$4,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.8173438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No35c5,290$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.9571443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No35c5,047$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.8372850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No42c4,600$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.781,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes46c4,392$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.9313952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No35c3,723$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.5470249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes62c2,965$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes72c2,927$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8315068%34 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No35c2,906$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.029747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.997949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes45c2,676$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.616341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes67c2,412$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.8511454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked No60c2,167$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.2911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.40per pick51cpaid-75.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c2,160$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.4597146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No36c2,158$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.1468150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Yes48c2,113$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No43c1,954$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.4317137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes47c1,899$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.6153040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No24c1,775$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.72222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes70c1,651$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.851,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes66c1,552$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.6132848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No20c1,522$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7313228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No54c1,499$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.192346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes77c1,478$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.9816437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No35c1,428$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.891553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x126f…739fbacked Yes65c1,335$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.25540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed No48c1,328$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.395162.7%32 W · 19 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes69c1,223$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.1110840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed No17c1,154$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.191526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No35c1,134$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.5253046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes70c1,078$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.3535247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No55c1,052$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.845446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No47c1,030$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.024641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Yes70c1,004$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.322846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No14c939.34$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.123525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No42c894.26$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.610042%42 W · 58 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes75c887.28$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.074850%24 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes71c836.95$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8244447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes53c810.29$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.225652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed No35c800$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.581258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+43.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Yes79c675$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.54250%21 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No50c664.85$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.3120252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes64c659.7$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.3936646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes66c604.58$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.617974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xca3d…2fd7backed Yes48c560$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.2837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes67c532$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5635550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No43c530.62$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5314549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No52c522.71$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.325851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No34c485.18$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.964334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes74c485.07$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6310644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed No44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No35c449.98$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4935149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6046…87f8backed No36c445$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No28c418.19$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.365752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.164413.6%6 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d47…64eebacked Yes48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes55c362.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.373865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No35c350$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.53551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No49c305.88$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.57953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…bc0bbacked Yes66c303.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.33933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Yes48c300.97$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.133327.3%9 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed No34c299.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.994238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes65c288.04$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No52c283.55$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4712058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No46c283$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3218456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes48c282$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.644242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked No44c265.91$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1172740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Yes41c264.07$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed No32c263.39$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.163161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No35c261.16$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4237649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No36c256$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1627047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes64c241.42$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.918845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No44c236.42$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1312650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No37c227$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8931446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No42c225$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5227344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d90…bcd6backed No44c220.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.965733.3%19 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No28c219$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.659540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No43c217$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.841,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes66c212.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.122759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Yes63c210$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes51c204$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9629370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes49c200.59$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-70.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6528…2dcebacked Yes49c193.35$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.61944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf15e…80b5backed No14c193$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.713928.2%11 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No52c186.34$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.211633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No51c178.82$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2430735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.52per pick33cpaid+231.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed No47c164$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.114447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.